Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bed9a7702b0855686f4f65a9f65d51afeb7ca0c60f48937f4377269087cec25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc8e…c16abacked Yes | 43c | 25,899$11,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,136.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…0932backed No | 57c | 25,899$14,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,136.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 20c | 11,242$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.04 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 14c | 9,000$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 8,510$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…dd51backed Yes | 16c | 8,274$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 7,626$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 74c | 6,377$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3917…7adbbacked Yes | 19c | 6,307$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…7e88backed Yes | 16c | 5,755$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 18c | 5,081$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 48c | 4,942$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 8c | 4,400$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 30c | 3,954$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.18 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 20c | 3,668$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.62 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 12c | 3,146$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…4f22backed Yes | 18c | 2,762$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 78c | 2,754$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,675$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…d51abacked No | 73c | 2,584$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…88d0backed Yes | 5c | 2,532$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 28c | 2,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.34 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 14c | 1,406$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +1,104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 56c | 1,352$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…f45dbacked No | 58c | 1,196$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 5c | 1,169$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…5a48backed Yes | 10c | 1,151$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…589abacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…7ebfbacked Yes | 2c | 930.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde0…267dbacked Yes | 9c | 921.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 37c | 914.85$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed No | 57c | 877.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…360abacked Yes | 2c | 811.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 72c | 750$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 38c | 700$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…a2a5backed Yes | 46c | 637.48$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…111cbacked Yes | 54c | 618$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 3c | 549.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 20c | 540.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 4c | 532.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…72bebacked No | 50c | 527.9$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed No | 66c | 507.83$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 507.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…620abacked Yes | 4c | 491.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea7…9ffcbacked Yes | 3c | 483.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 47c | 462$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f2…c035backed Yes | 5c | 373.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 3c | 334$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…1e3dbacked Yes | 47c | 318.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…9c67backed Yes | 22c | 312.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…6654backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 56c | 285.12$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 63c | 265.12$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…daaebacked Yes | 10c | 260.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 23c | 229.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…8361backed No | 63c | 220.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…f74cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Yes | 25c | 198.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…339fbacked No | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +118%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…8b1fbacked Yes | 19c | 172.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…2362backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…3c8abacked Yes | 35c | 171.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…6d01backed No | 79c | 170.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…53bcbacked No | 66c | 169.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +360.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…b25abacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…af7abacked Yes | 20c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed Yes | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…56b3backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes | 40c | 142.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…a58bbacked No | 77c | 141.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…f7cdbacked Yes | 18c | 131.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…a6c4backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841b…be2ebacked Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 72c | 127.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017f…7c54backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe67…06fcbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…1e50backed Yes | 10c | 121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…7dc3backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f13…5b36backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 94.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf820…4204backed No | 56c | 89.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…dd3cbacked Yes | 12c | 87.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 55c | 85.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 19c | 82.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?this page
- Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?No won
- Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?No won
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?No won
- Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.