Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf04f5bf11a36f5fd301826b8a75715527924266ea34227cfa12f9b3d9f3f525f

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $582,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,787 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 565 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	78c	26,703$20,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,871.07	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	63c	26,660$16,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,880.63	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	47c	17,081$8,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,973.69	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	21c	12,074$2,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,516.8	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	61c	10,369$6,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,048.42	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	71c	9,061$6,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,592.8	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	67c	8,940$5,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,967.71	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	26c	8,178$2,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,104.67	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x760e…119ebacked No	28c	7,186$2,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,015.13	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	56c	5,983$3,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,658.3	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	48c	5,457$2,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,612.37	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	41c	5,226$2,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,155.27	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	63c	5,210$3,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,276.12	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	37c	5,100$1,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,190.12	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	56c	4,145$2,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,820.82	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	50c	4,024$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,024.4	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	78c	3,700$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.2	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	27c	3,416$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,489.85	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	48c	2,931$1,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,523.81	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117f…e958backed No	53c	2,890$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,531.67	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	76c	2,886$2,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.7	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	63c	2,776$1,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,036.38	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	62c	2,378$1,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.8	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb29…64f3backed Yes	63c	2,251$1,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.13	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d9…be50backed No	36c	2,172$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.19	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	42c	2,166$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.51	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	25c	2,000$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,501.48	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	78c	2,000$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked No	33c	2,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	26c	2,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,479.99	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked No	3c	1,830$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.79	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	23c	1,800$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,382.05	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	60c	1,798$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.27	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	39c	1,784$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.42	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	48c	1,601$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.95	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…bfc1backed Yes	35c	1,600$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.99	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed7…60cbbacked Yes	72c	1,500$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	33c	1,466$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.51	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	70c	1,446$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.78	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	22c	1,387$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,087.2	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59a…0cdebacked Yes	24c	1,360$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,027.12	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	55c	1,346$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.97	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked No	8c	1,321$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.71	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	49c	1,272$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.95	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefc0…20e5backed No	20c	1,270$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.69	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes	56c	1,264$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.43	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	36c	1,264$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.57	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34a6…e544backed No	45c	1,201$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.72	61	67.2%41 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	47c	1,178$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.41	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d4…2037backed Yes	25c	1,177$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+96.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	27c	1,173$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.15	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cc…3343backed No	43c	1,167$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes	51c	1,152$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.7	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed No	29c	1,123$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.95	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	62c	1,100$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	24c	1,044$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.55	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	66c	1,010$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.99	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	67c	1,000$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.73	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	23c	999.99$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.99	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	27c	991.79$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.44	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes	69c	973.64$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.64	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	57c	950$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x017b…301dbacked Yes	44c	899.97$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.98	87	24.1%21 W · 66 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd4b…cac3backed No	40c	897.28$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.91	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	33c	882.98$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.6	287	23.7%68 W · 219 L	-46.5wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-63%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	29c	850.59$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.37	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed No	32c	843.15$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.55	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc0…293abacked Yes	59c	818.21$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.47	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed No	45c	805.33$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.47	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…606cbacked No	33c	795.33$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	23c	783.55$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.8	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa200…d145backed Yes	40c	776.01$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.42	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45a0…5963backed Yes	57c	775.98$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.54	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed No	37c	771.08$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.16	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc1…3058backed Yes	69c	767.66$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.81	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Yes	72c	753.51$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.92	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad62…2aa9backed Yes	62c	751.04$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.01	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	28c	740$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.59	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed No	24c	733.54$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.23	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	53c	732.42$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.45	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb57…6a21backed Yes	49c	719.03$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.03	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	64c	699.98$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.99	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	58c	699.97$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.98	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd897…9b49backed Yes	59c	698.67$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.36	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	22c	681.49$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.56	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7684…15c4backed Yes	63c	661.88$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.8	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c85…8dbdbacked Yes	67c	654$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x907a…68b5backed Yes	57c	650$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	62c	642.25$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.25	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	58c	627.99$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.2	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0345…f712backed Yes	62c	620$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.21	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3713…e3eebacked No	41c	618.21$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	25c	607.7$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.97	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	23c	595.48$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.52	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb104…10c9backed No	45c	567.11$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.25	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	72c	559.57$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.57	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a5…64ffbacked Yes	43c	551.84$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.84	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes	55c	544.91$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.13	100	32%32 W · 68 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event