Movies · resolved market
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x662270576ae01d80a6eec9f8579c93987338f646010117e9c98fffe7c38b220c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,727 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 761 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 52c | 13,633$7,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…a3f1backed No | 45c | 13,622$6,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,191.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…5966backed Yes | 20c | 11,700$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,309.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +389.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 51c | 11,699$5,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.46 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e23…1d79backed Yes | 21c | 10,200$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,091.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +383.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 55c | 10,174$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.99 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…1bbfbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…bb04backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 27cpaid | +277.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…4ff7backed No | 62c | 8,430$5,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,261.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…f246backed Yes | 60c | 8,232$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…33eebacked No | 62c | 7,830$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…3bb4backed No | 62c | 7,810$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 61c | 7,492$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.97 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 61c | 7,360$4,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…df58backed Yes | 38c | 7,100$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 14c | 6,922$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,935.19 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 22c | 6,753$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,275.48 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 70c | 6,077$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.07 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…0a76backed Yes | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 50c | 5,881$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 55c | 5,679$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 33c | 5,626$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…702dbacked Yes | 51c | 5,611$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.26 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 62c | 4,806$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Yes | 54c | 4,269$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Yes | 50c | 4,063$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 44c | 4,000$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa992…8f7ebacked No | 74c | 3,800$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…4e04backed No | 62c | 3,650$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…1ddebacked No | 80c | 3,620$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 56c | 3,603$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…4a80backed No | 79c | 3,500$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6545…03c5backed No | 62c | 3,450$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…2355backed No | 80c | 3,330$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c4…ac9dbacked No | 74c | 3,200$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f2…e3efbacked No | 79c | 3,200$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…858abacked Yes | 50c | 3,112$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…3577backed No | 80c | 3,080$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 52c | 3,013$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.14 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…2169backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Yes | 49c | 2,990$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…e52abacked Yes | 55c | 2,958$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 49c | 2,955$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.11 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee37…89febacked Yes | 16c | 2,794$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…175bbacked No | 80c | 2,770$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,748$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed No | 60c | 2,735$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 7c | 2,648$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 49c | 2,522$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 49c | 2,449$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 52c | 2,448$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…c9ebbacked No | 80c | 2,400$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 74c | 2,331$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 50c | 2,248$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…811fbacked No | 63c | 2,240$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,236$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.9 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed No | 53c | 2,228$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…83cbbacked Yes | 39c | 2,208$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Yes | 48c | 2,140$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 52c | 2,122$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.68 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…a961backed No | 63c | 2,100$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 78c | 2,073$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…c089backed Yes | 55c | 2,026$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 47c | 2,004$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…feabbacked Yes | 7c | 1,967$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 50c | 1,942$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.91 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 48c | 1,881$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Yes | 54c | 1,845$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 41c | 1,792$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 1,729$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.74 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eeb…0ca9backed Yes | 59c | 1,702$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…69e1backed No | 76c | 1,677$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 49c | 1,595$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.09 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 28c | 1,514$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.2 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e61ebacked No | 61c | 1,510$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,506$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.09 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked No | 50c | 1,484$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 48c | 1,483$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.05 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 45c | 1,450$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.55 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 6c | 1,440$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 48c | 1,435$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 63c | 1,427$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.13 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 1,394$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.72 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked Yes | 29c | 1,385$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.1 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 40c | 1,352$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,335$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.39 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,329$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 79c | 1,322$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 56c | 1,255$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.96 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 1,217$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.83 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…f660backed No | 63c | 1,210$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea8…43dabacked No | 63c | 1,150$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…fe06backed No | 51c | 1,123$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 25c | 1,120$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.71 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…446bbacked No | 63c | 1,120$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Chase Infiniti win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Emily Blunt win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Glenn Close win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Gwyneth Paltrow win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jennifer Lopez win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mari Yamamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Odessa A'zion win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Rebecca Ferguson win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.