Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0bb95fcf7fe52be303254e47fd8065cedb1530e9629fc8021f5ce0ca3dd8a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,939 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6045…b2e7backed Yes | 58c | 1,320$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 59c | 790.66$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.43 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 38c | 749.83$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.73 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 44c | 705.67$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.69 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 14c | 692.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 33c | 689.12$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 664.89$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…0f1dbacked Yes | 34c | 595.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe979…0c8bbacked Yes | 24c | 593.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…2e61backed Yes | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 73c | 548.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 537.59$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 55c | 519.84$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.51 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 480.01$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.55 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 392.43$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 11c | 357.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…6140backed Yes | 6c | 355.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked No | 25c | 345.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.83 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…a13cbacked No | 73c | 322.85$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 56c | 320.58$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.89 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Yes | 6c | 302.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 35c | 282.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 269.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 53c | 267$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 265.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 67c | 262.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…1f10backed Yes | 79c | 253.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 38c | 247.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…9a76backed Yes | 67c | 240.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Yes | 5c | 231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 70c | 211.63$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 33c | 211$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 210.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 202.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 64c | 201.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…93debacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 66c | 199.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 63c | 197.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…e722backed Yes | 61c | 190.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 70c | 181.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…8a4dbacked Yes | 28c | 178.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…c907backed No | 46c | 173.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…abc6backed Yes | 31c | 172.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Yes | 59c | 172.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 20c | 172.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 22c | 169.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 23c | 154.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…7c44backed No | 38c | 154$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 26c | 153.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 75c | 153.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…19a7backed Yes | 9c | 152.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…a801backed Yes | 62c | 151.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Yes | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 76c | 146.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 36c | 139.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…3ac2backed Yes | 33c | 136.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 61c | 132.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 33c | 130.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 30c | 129.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…f7eabacked No | 45c | 129$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 28c | 127.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…747bbacked Yes | 29c | 123.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +208%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed No | 22c | 123$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 12c | 121.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 29c | 119.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…d9c1backed No | 25c | 116.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 78c | 115.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…67cebacked Yes | 32c | 113.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 28c | 109.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…b782backed Yes | 35c | 109.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Yes | 46c | 109.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…ee79backed Yes | 42c | 107.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…f76bbacked No | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 70c | 106.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Yes | 33c | 105.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be1…79f3backed Yes | 37c | 105.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 29c | 104.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 72c | 103.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 28c | 103.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 25c | 102.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 24c | 101.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798b…d699backed Yes | 48c | 101.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…10efbacked Yes | 40c | 100.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…65afbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…760dbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 36c | 99.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…a2d4backed Yes | 62c | 99.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 13c | 99.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…d85dbacked Yes | 52c | 98.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked No | 35c | 96.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on March 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.