La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208afcb00b07b4bf2c84a1a61ea4b763a3965e5ff2b6ff2c7c11f66c20a623c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $488,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe43e…c49cbacked Yes | 0c | 99,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 53c | 38,200$20,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,104.55 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432b…c985backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 16,920$8,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,770.98 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,080$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 51c | 11,152$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.38 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed No | 46c | 10,950$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…0113backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 7,563$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.82 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 7,253$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.99 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked No | 80c | 6,500$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 6,473$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.08 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 5,753$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.52 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 36c | 5,352$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.8 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 42c | 5,216$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.16 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 22c | 4,091$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 77c | 3,973$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.77 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 68c | 3,875$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.03 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 51c | 3,380$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.07 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 77c | 2,875$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 19c | 2,746$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0344backed Yes | 23c | 2,609$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…a880backed Yes | 23c | 2,442$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 78c | 2,227$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.85 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 60c | 2,221$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.3 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed No | 68c | 2,100$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,017$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.11 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…de49backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 51c | 1,656$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.21 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 58c | 1,551$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.81 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +10.0wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 77c | 1,450$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed No | 57c | 1,327$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,216$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed No | 59c | 1,200$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 1,161$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…a428backed Yes | 23c | 1,035$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 76c | 1,022$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.17 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc84…2468backed Yes | 13c | 1,005$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,001$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked No | 79c | 978.98$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 19c | 970.54$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…08b2backed Yes | 24c | 958.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…e944backed Yes | 10c | 938.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 38c | 924.01$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.61 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 864.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 841$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.78 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 747$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.85 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 669.92$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.54 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 51c | 637.95$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.67 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 58c | 634.92$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.9 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 44c | 599.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 52c | 573.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 76c | 553.22$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes | 53c | 546.88$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…99fcbacked Yes | 24c | 541.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 67c | 534$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 48c | 518$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.36 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…94aebacked No | 78c | 513.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed No | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 12c | 503.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 50c | 502$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…b52ebacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked No | 45c | 437.33$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 51c | 422$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 28c | 388.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 22c | 370.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 53c | 370$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed No | 51c | 357.71$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 57c | 351.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 344.66$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e8…dc9abacked Yes | 52c | 342.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 4c | 339.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…9f37backed Yes | 15c | 338$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed No | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 49c | 325$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 38c | 322.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…2fe5backed Yes | 23c | 321.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…82c8backed Yes | 24c | 312.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 23c | 312$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…a291backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed No | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffa…b54fbacked Yes | 35c | 288.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed No | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked No | 79c | 277.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.