TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9244…643cbacked No0c97,970$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.972450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes28c17,500$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6005726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No73c11,150$8,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,097.3860732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No74c7,700$5,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,697.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes26c7,030$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.351233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c6,691$4,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,282.881,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes78c6,057$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.0122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No72c5,266$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.7682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes26c4,610$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,411.033847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No73c4,339$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,167.679457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes31c3,235$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.618343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c2,987$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.634,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c2,916$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.6358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No36c2,871$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.421950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c2,679$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.391,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes30c1,800$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.982040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c1,673$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2625872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No41c1,488$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.3518956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c1,437$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.433,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f9…fffdbacked No75c1,341$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes27c1,190$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.594845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c1,158$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6383640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes25c1,020$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.27936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7509147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No20c938.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7920241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…b52ebacked Yes29c858.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.291526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked No73c787.44$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.661513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Yes32c626.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes26c576.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9223152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c559.55$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.9763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No26c549.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.426641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No21c541.59$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3429038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No17c514.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.256934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No20c499.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe592…691abacked Yes71c499$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes28c495.07$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.074639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c494.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0569350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes26c488.46$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.46560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+79.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes26c414$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.3310230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c388.32$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.262,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes28c387.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.152317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No72c340.38$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0712159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Yes68c327.94$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.941145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes31c319.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.353026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c300.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0275051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes26c288.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4611342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe184…920abacked Yes26c279.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e7c…9d28backed Yes30c252.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes26c252.31$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7113426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes27c248.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.153844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes35c243.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.574465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No74c228.04$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9717159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes31c225.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.813429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c221.65$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0247653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes25c214.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.222658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No75c209$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.751735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4545…91a5backed Yes26c208.42$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes28c200.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.472821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1385226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac55…610dbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.311030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes26c192.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312951.2%66 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2474…e8f6backed Yes27c189.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes25c188.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Yes26c183.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.561346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes28c175.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.837744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No75c169$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.758672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd26c…0d92backed No20c166.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes26c161.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5415832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.294632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eee…dd8bbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.292560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Yes31c151.61$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.34119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No70c138$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.233834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c1…d98bbacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes75c134.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.15977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No73c130.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.319753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes31c130$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.73452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Yes79c126.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.221566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No73c119.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.626853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9116…1d58backed Yes52c108.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.46650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes28c107.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.322119%4 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…1668backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c10…2e23backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6914023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682147.6%10 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.22per pick26cpaid+81.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No40c96.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1815442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes25c94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb83f…82c8backed Yes32c93.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes33c92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.514582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.0wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.