Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1c65fc9158a72c5b02979ef5a40979cc456838020bcbc9672cce52991e0c7f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,887 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 0c | 6,794$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…e0e6backed No | 1c | 2,481$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 1c | 2,146$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 6c | 1,859$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x940a…97afbacked No | 6c | 1,739$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked No | 32c | 1,597$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…6571backed No | 1c | 1,559$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 2c | 1,522$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,350$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 1,318$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab2…45cfbacked No | 7c | 1,274$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 49c | 1,271$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.79 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda73…8e23backed Yes | 79c | 1,140$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 3c | 1,131$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 4c | 937$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 931.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 11c | 890.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 13c | 839.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed No | 35c | 783$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed No | 49c | 769$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 35c | 734$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 12c | 733.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 51c | 693$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 51c | 679$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 51c | 668$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 68c | 627$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…8378backed No | 19c | 613.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +279.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 68c | 607$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 68c | 593$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 3c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…da0ebacked No | 13c | 443.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 6c | 442.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dab…840bbacked No | 13c | 418.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked No | 15c | 407.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked No | 41c | 347.85$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 9c | 346.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 65c | 341$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…25f1backed No | 15c | 334.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…9478backed No | 4c | 300.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…cae3backed No | 13c | 238.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed No | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…9517backed Yes | 70c | 215.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 12c | 191.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed Yes | 76c | 191.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 22c | 186.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked No | 35c | 174$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 165.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 64c | 165.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…5216backed No | 14c | 162.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db7…8f9bbacked Yes | 74c | 153.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 20c | 146.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…82a6backed No | 14c | 144.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…745ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…99d1backed No | 11c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…8aeabacked No | 25c | 114.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c2…722fbacked No | 18c | 100.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c86ebacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…87d9backed Yes | 73c | 99.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 82.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5b30backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…3255backed No | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2e0dbacked No | 13c | 79.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…2efcbacked No | 32c | 77.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 71.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…2bc6backed Yes | 74c | 69.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…1b8ebacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…a746backed No | 19c | 67.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79c…f6c6backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed Yes | 73c | 58.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed No | 22c | 56.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked Yes | 75c | 53.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked Yes | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 74c | 48.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…88cbbacked Yes | 79c | 44.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 27c | 41.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2812…c44fbacked Yes | 72c | 36.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…d3d4backed No | 29c | 34.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936c…96e8backed Yes | 72c | 27.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…ca41backed Yes | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…ffbebacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0f0bbacked Yes | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?this page
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?No won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.