Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe713a017779da7f543c56c2f5b4af8e72f002c018f8aca9253af10ab08c2e0ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,889 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 2c | 4,124$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…67e3backed No | 1c | 2,040$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 2c | 1,549$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…467bbacked No | 7c | 1,425$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…ce0ebacked No | 2c | 1,405$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 14c | 1,403$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 80c | 1,357$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 8c | 1,222$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…6257backed No | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,134$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed No | 13c | 996$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed Yes | 79c | 988.67$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 17c | 974.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed No | 13c | 966$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 20c | 960$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 957.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 11c | 957.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…a065backed No | 20c | 899$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 20c | 898$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 842$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 14c | 825.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked No | 11c | 793.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 699.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 3c | 698.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…eb12backed No | 23c | 653.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +324.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…aa14backed Yes | 77c | 594.73$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 10c | 470$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 5c | 439.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed No | 16c | 428$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed Yes | 78c | 418.34$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -12.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 24c | 417.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 80c | 404$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed Yes | 50c | 394.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 10c | 325.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 80c | 319$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked No | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 110 | 16.4%18 W · 92 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 299.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 14c | 267.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed No | 20c | 256$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…9478backed No | 5c | 255.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 20c | 244$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed No | 21c | 238.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed No | 20c | 223$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…f01dbacked No | 11c | 209.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 53c | 205.93$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…f9c2backed No | 14c | 204.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed No | 20c | 189.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 16c | 166.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 16c | 160$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 8c | 158.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 18c | 151.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 10c | 141.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 12c | 110.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked No | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3f…b8b8backed No | 11c | 104.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 16c | 100.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked No | 17c | 99.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 15c | 99.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 15c | 96.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 22c | 85.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…25f1backed No | 13c | 77.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…fcbfbacked Yes | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4067backed Yes | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 62.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…7847backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed Yes | 75c | 57.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…2ba5backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…87d9backed Yes | 78c | 47.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…4916backed No | 32c | 39.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6482…34b0backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…27fbbacked Yes | 79c | 36.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…8676backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 78c | 24.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3714…538abacked Yes | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…4fc0backed Yes | 77c | 21.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…c689backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…aa0ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?this page
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?No won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.