TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes71c6,262$4,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.457044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aba…c083backed Yes6c1,954$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.168036.3%29 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefc0…4942backed Yes25c1,200$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…fa1dbacked No1c1,149$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1063…1d3fbacked No75c1,050$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…46cebacked No75c977$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked No9c787.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.738632.6%28 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No34c716.22$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2946330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe11a…c40bbacked No75c711.51$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.442770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6250…8707backed No31c700.1$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked No25c521$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.21812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-79.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes64c511.94$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.891,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes39c463.05$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.472352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed Yes25c461$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.751050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+164.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No26c441.41$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.749822.4%22 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c28…fc1abacked Yes31c422.49$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.49520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed Yes25c414$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xacb1…6de8backed No75c410$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed No75c397$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.751643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234a…cbffbacked No75c393$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes27c362.02$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6813444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes75c345$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.56650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170e…7228backed No25c340.1$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5d…5f6abacked Yes25c339$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98a…0550backed Yes75c330.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.841030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7166…f815backed Yes25c324$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe23d…93a4backed Yes41c322.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.123125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1b…8306backed Yes14c320$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.62128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb376…3ecebacked Yes13c316.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid+30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bad…8974backed No16c314.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ba…f02dbacked Yes25c314$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf808…6e99backed Yes34c297.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+69.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed No4c277.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c7…fd70backed Yes74c271$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe287…5a0fbacked Yes33c214.77$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.921850%9 W · 9 L+6.6wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+373.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc3de…e227backed Yes19c211.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6323921.3%51 W · 188 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5085…d8a4backed Yes71c211.77$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.124533.3%15 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes32c199.83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.035558.2%32 W · 23 L+15.2wins+0.28per pick31cpaid+73.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x00d1…642fbacked No78c176.13$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab38…77febacked Yes75c176$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ae…be02backed Yes19c175.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.53520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…6741backed Yes25c175$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No18c154.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.121,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd920…8fdabacked No12c152.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes20c146.84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.642744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No18c140.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1516343.6%71 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1c…e948backed No27c125$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffd…5f97backed Yes27c110$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.17329.4%3 W · 29 L-8.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-79.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed No28c106.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.414254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c8…0ed9backed No67c104.03$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+117.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa9c…ae1ebacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f74…6e19backed Yes13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes22c99.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.318716.1%14 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb513…f628backed Yes76c99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…d875backed No47c91.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0098…d45cbacked Yes76c89.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbc…c19dbacked Yes21c82.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+366.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6c…d803backed Yes21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.431040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No50c66.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5936742.5%156 W · 211 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa575…f2d0backed Yes35c60.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Yes79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814a…ab7abacked Yes58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.142231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc17…c01cbacked Yes75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x364f…562cbacked Yes44c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c50…22fdbacked No38c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912b…9156backed Yes23c52.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+192.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2517…c99ebacked No26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.13743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c55…25c3backed Yes72c41.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95db…6b18backed Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.382462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf6…7521backed Yes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb546…33e2backed Yes66c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fe…e3d4backed Yes77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…0a5abacked Yes73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.289152.7%48 W · 43 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5219…9882backed No44c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad3…7715backed Yes54c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0444428.8%128 W · 316 L-67.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-51.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Yes32c39.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.192934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bf…ae14backed Yes72c37.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8b…00a3backed Yes36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bbc…1d9ebacked Yes50c23.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.861080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+48.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e45…1efbbacked Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3773…075ebacked Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3562…da99backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Yes79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802d…e5babacked Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6c…445fbacked Yes74c19.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No60c18.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.984852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes63c17.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6318246.2%84 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes79c16.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.56757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.