World Politics · resolved market
Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a8f21aa8e73490c98c96b3728da232d1b4f106aad2ea695a262da1a333c08a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,469,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,469,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55f7…30d4backed Yes | 1c | 792,081$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…fc15backed Yes | 1c | 504,560$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4eb…3be6backed Yes | 1c | 469,092$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee7…e901backed Yes | 1c | 441,468$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…a218backed Yes | 1c | 336,488$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 1c | 233,309$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…a21bbacked Yes | 0c | 146,077$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…1f8fbacked Yes | 1c | 127,429$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…b071backed Yes | 0c | 124,141$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…90e5backed Yes | 0c | 123,384$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…a829backed Yes | 0c | 120,167$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…3eb8backed Yes | 0c | 111,242$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf09…cd17backed Yes | 0c | 110,688$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…deedbacked Yes | 0c | 99,804$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…45bdbacked Yes | 0c | 99,222$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…a275backed Yes | 0c | 95,548$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…6d3dbacked Yes | 0c | 94,930$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…d667backed Yes | 0c | 92,253$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…126ebacked Yes | 0c | 89,597$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…fda9backed Yes | 0c | 86,102$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…7950backed Yes | 1c | 85,609$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…d115backed Yes | 1c | 85,604$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…439fbacked Yes | 1c | 83,747$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…5377backed Yes | 0c | 80,654$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2798backed Yes | 0c | 79,364$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6408backed Yes | 0c | 71,419$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…40a1backed Yes | 1c | 69,659$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…d195backed Yes | 0c | 68,222$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…1869backed Yes | 1c | 66,851$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…db0abacked Yes | 0c | 64,402$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8962…f0aebacked Yes | 0c | 64,136$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…da77backed Yes | 1c | 62,089$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…6cb9backed Yes | 1c | 61,401$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…56acbacked Yes | 1c | 61,114$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…1620backed Yes | 0c | 59,647$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…46f8backed Yes | 0c | 58,277$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…79d1backed Yes | 1c | 56,517$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8438…82d2backed Yes | 1c | 56,517$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…be88backed Yes | 0c | 55,562$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…8307backed Yes | 0c | 55,018$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…def3backed Yes | 1c | 52,456$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…a429backed Yes | 0c | 51,156$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…8b09backed Yes | 0c | 47,746$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15eb…980dbacked Yes | 0c | 45,327$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…b4c7backed Yes | 1c | 45,327$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…5e89backed Yes | 1c | 44,702$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…fbe3backed Yes | 0c | 44,702$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…e7f3backed Yes | 0c | 44,335$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…b18fbacked Yes | 0c | 43,623$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…866fbacked Yes | 1c | 42,089$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7a…95eebacked Yes | 1c | 41,263$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…de03backed Yes | 0c | 40,925$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…0bdfbacked Yes | 1c | 40,022$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…792abacked Yes | 0c | 38,840$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 0c | 37,544$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5312…6797backed Yes | 0c | 37,514$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…46d8backed Yes | 0c | 37,514$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…5706backed Yes | 0c | 30,694$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…c0b0backed Yes | 0c | 20,462$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…5312backed Yes | 7c | 822.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9f…3a9ebacked Yes | 2c | 733.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…ef87backed Yes | 6c | 442$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…d43dbacked Yes | 6c | 297.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 8c | 254.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1a…6928backed Yes | 12c | 164.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Yes | 8c | 153.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4632…193abacked Yes | 15c | 133.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 71c | 19.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.