World Politics · resolved market
Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c3ed4e5de73109821c93a7a02b9b128ecc60e00a2c8c2b265a293924ff54ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,439,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,439,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 1c | 229,262$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4eb…3be6backed Yes | 1c | 184,458$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…d115backed Yes | 0c | 160,728$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…9d44backed Yes | 1c | 124,338$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf09…cd17backed Yes | 0c | 53,162$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…40a1backed Yes | 0c | 50,836$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…439fbacked Yes | 0c | 46,925$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…90e5backed Yes | 0c | 45,215$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…1869backed Yes | 0c | 43,415$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2798backed Yes | 0c | 41,167$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…56acbacked Yes | 0c | 41,104$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…deedbacked Yes | 0c | 40,725$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…5377backed Yes | 1c | 36,965$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6408backed Yes | 1c | 33,605$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…b071backed Yes | 0c | 32,863$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…d195backed Yes | 0c | 32,395$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…1620backed Yes | 0c | 30,244$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…a275backed Yes | 1c | 30,244$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…d667backed Yes | 0c | 30,244$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…126ebacked Yes | 1c | 30,244$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…7950backed Yes | 0c | 27,373$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…fda9backed Yes | 1c | 23,523$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…db0abacked Yes | 0c | 20,163$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,360$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…5312backed Yes | 3c | 3,109$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,048$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Yes | 7c | 155.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…bda7backed No | 69c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.