World Politics · resolved market
Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619c42a9074251375c279e42d7ffddcc7576aa104a901081adb46aa460b4c3fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,349,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,349,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 1c | 402,985$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…1e87backed Yes | 1c | 257,076$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…35abbacked Yes | 0c | 46,724$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…40b7backed Yes | 0c | 46,724$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…18f1backed Yes | 0c | 39,347$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…728bbacked Yes | 0c | 39,347$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6d…3a8cbacked Yes | 0c | 36,887$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…3eb8backed Yes | 1c | 34,577$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…5fdfbacked Yes | 1c | 32,012$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…6d3dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,078$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…45bdbacked Yes | 1c | 28,488$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…be88backed Yes | 0c | 27,844$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…def3backed Yes | 0c | 24,214$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…46d8backed Yes | 1c | 21,937$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…c0b0backed Yes | 1c | 21,813$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…6cb9backed Yes | 0c | 21,524$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8438…82d2backed Yes | 1c | 21,524$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8962…f0aebacked Yes | 0c | 21,364$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…5706backed Yes | 1c | 19,333$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…de03backed Yes | 1c | 19,243$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…8b09backed Yes | 1c | 19,172$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5312…6797backed Yes | 1c | 16,513$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…e7f3backed Yes | 1c | 16,433$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…b18fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…79d1backed Yes | 1c | 16,143$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…a829backed Yes | 1c | 14,487$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…a429backed Yes | 1c | 13,860$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,326$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…a902backed Yes | 1c | 11,098$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,953$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…aa79backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.