World Politics · resolved market
Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61150daea6d06355bf63f5104ed29e7400977dc035c07944b00e7a7aec9943ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,224,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,224,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa81b…9d44backed Yes | 0c | 192,772$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee7…e901backed Yes | 1c | 131,567$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…a902backed Yes | 0c | 71,833$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…5fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 62,056$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…1f8fbacked Yes | 0c | 46,606$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…fc15backed Yes | 1c | 46,606$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…c0b0backed Yes | 0c | 46,564$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…56acbacked Yes | 0c | 44,881$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…0bdfbacked Yes | 1c | 44,881$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…ef84backed Yes | 0c | 41,941$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…7950backed Yes | 0c | 41,810$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…e7f3backed Yes | 0c | 40,392$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…6d3dbacked Yes | 0c | 39,183$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…40a1backed Yes | 0c | 36,961$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…da77backed Yes | 1c | 36,961$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…cbe0backed Yes | 1c | 36,961$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…439fbacked Yes | 0c | 36,901$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…a829backed Yes | 0c | 33,678$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…1869backed Yes | 0c | 31,681$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…6840backed Yes | 1c | 31,681$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…3eb8backed Yes | 0c | 31,450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…45bdbacked Yes | 0c | 29,353$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4eb…3be6backed Yes | 0c | 27,964$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,809$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 17c | 780$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…a1cabacked Yes | 8c | 622.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…19c8backed Yes | 17c | 474$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 17c | 334$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed No | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 40c | 200.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…634ebacked Yes | 26c | 193.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Yes | 10c | 189.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 7c | 151.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…ab91backed No | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 42.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 27c | 37.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…0b92backed No | 71c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.