World Politics · resolved market
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x231bc9af946e235e7d6d24256c7c1475186cbfaeb7b5ce36967722eec25a6bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 20c | 6,939$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.51 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed No | 75c | 3,818$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed No | 80c | 1,451$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed Yes | 30c | 1,428$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked Yes | 19c | 963$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 19c | 920$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 31c | 800.49$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked No | 70c | 791$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 23c | 780.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.22 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…c59fbacked No | 70c | 749$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…5b1bbacked Yes | 24c | 730.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…de48backed Yes | 41c | 600$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 13c | 498.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 36c | 476$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 16c | 460$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 68c | 450.18$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…911fbacked Yes | 16c | 430$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…bd92backed Yes | 20c | 357.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…d45cbacked No | 78c | 280$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Yes | 30c | 265$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 15c | 219.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…93a4backed Yes | 21c | 215$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 76c | 204.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed No | 57c | 175.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 75c | 167.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 70c | 153$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 135.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 24c | 130.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…be02backed Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…8974backed Yes | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 73c | 75.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7501…9edbbacked No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 16c | 73.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 75c | 69.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…748ebacked Yes | 23c | 60.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 71c | 60.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed No | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 57c | 43.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…33e2backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…ec5cbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…b6ddbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.