World Politics · resolved market
Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa738d66f2c4fa70753ba7060bf656f28e91c42ea8591a72e8f3748ad6a23e1ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,194,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,194,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4efd…d195backed Yes | 1c | 522,837$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…fda9backed Yes | 1c | 497,822$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…db25backed Yes | 1c | 330,424$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5312…6797backed Yes | 1c | 320,937$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…9d44backed Yes | 1c | 292,580$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2798backed Yes | 1c | 156,958$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…db0abacked Yes | 0c | 144,187$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…1620backed Yes | 0c | 142,776$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…5377backed Yes | 1c | 138,261$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…ef84backed Yes | 1c | 133,458$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…56acbacked Yes | 1c | 133,458$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…126ebacked Yes | 1c | 129,966$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…0bdfbacked Yes | 1c | 128,325$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…439fbacked Yes | 1c | 123,192$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…da77backed Yes | 1c | 118,059$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…7950backed Yes | 0c | 118,059$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…d667backed Yes | 0c | 110,671$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…1869backed Yes | 1c | 107,793$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…40a1backed Yes | 1c | 107,793$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…a21bbacked Yes | 1c | 107,793$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…deedbacked Yes | 0c | 107,793$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…6840backed Yes | 1c | 107,793$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…5e89backed Yes | 1c | 107,793$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…d115backed Yes | 1c | 107,793$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…cbe0backed Yes | 1c | 102,660$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…90e5backed Yes | 1c | 102,660$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…fbe3backed Yes | 1c | 102,660$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…a275backed Yes | 1c | 98,727$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6408backed Yes | 1c | 98,727$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf09…cd17backed Yes | 1c | 97,527$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7a…95eebacked Yes | 1c | 97,527$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…8307backed Yes | 1c | 92,394$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…b071backed Yes | 0c | 92,394$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…5706backed Yes | 1c | 87,927$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…a902backed Yes | 1c | 87,466$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…46d8backed Yes | 1c | 81,414$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…e7f3backed Yes | 1c | 81,221$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…6d3dbacked Yes | 0c | 71,862$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…c0b0backed Yes | 0c | 68,830$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…5fdfbacked Yes | 1c | 68,374$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…8b09backed Yes | 1c | 65,131$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…1f8fbacked Yes | 0c | 61,596$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…45bdbacked Yes | 0c | 56,463$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…a429backed Yes | 1c | 55,361$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…3eb8backed Yes | 0c | 51,330$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…a829backed Yes | 0c | 51,330$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…de03backed Yes | 1c | 45,592$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,575$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,122$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…8d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a8…9829backed Yes | 2c | 938$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca8…1c73backed Yes | 2c | 831$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…ea9ebacked Yes | 2c | 666.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 453.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…2840backed Yes | 5c | 261.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.