TailMyPicks
Market

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf11…8399backed Yes29c58,553$16,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,985.11625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No71c30,592$21,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,895.242378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No76c14,793$11,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,578.7614356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes16c12,741$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.8240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes15c7,498$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.553228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No70c7,154$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes17c6,444$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.516732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes13c5,521$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.6821337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3e…3770backed Yes18c5,393$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No73c5,367$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.892429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c4,977$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.95570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes16c4,886$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.982025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc58…490ebacked Yes17c3,213$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No71c3,200$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9286100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes14c2,657$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.323716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No70c2,611$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.156866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No70c2,506$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.9914458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No76c2,293$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.885759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes11c1,474$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.339223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e13…dd11backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes11c1,302$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.157133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa689…4cf5backed Yes3c1,283$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.58812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e2…871dbacked Yes9c1,175$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea59…129bbacked Yes11c1,111$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2618…aecfbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No70c999.96$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.997955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No79c755.36$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No67c751.62$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9112246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdf…0182backed Yes30c693.2$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6a…d44bbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25b…e383backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf775…f3b3backed Yes13c498.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed No71c446.17$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes9c399.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No71c382.83$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes12c370$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.46827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes13c349.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa496…0f5abacked Yes30c332.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…00b4backed Yes15c331.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b04…3a41backed Yes16c326.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No71c322.08$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes5c320$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.983917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1234…654cbacked Yes16c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes17c316.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.761315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-72.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f8d…4537backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98a…99b1backed Yes13c276.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…0b39backed Yes31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No71c252$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.383167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8918…8824backed Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+566.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes33c238.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.86246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x124e…cd14backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-81.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb96d…e64fbacked Yes15c197.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.66156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-88.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No66c180.94$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5210051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddf7…d6a5backed Yes15c161.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7149…e7efbacked Yes13c160$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aef…f4afbacked Yes16c160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes14c157.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cc…769cbacked Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…858bbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x740d…a45fbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a2…3308backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+44.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20a9…2569backed Yes14c127.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b2…31b3backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc216…b083backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked No67c119.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb62a…dffcbacked Yes30c109.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db2…fefebacked No70c104.51$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b29…5a9abacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911860.2%71 W · 47 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87df…a242backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc67d…2b6dbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cb…84c0backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-47.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8d5…d45abacked Yes32c99.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes14c77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-84.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No69c71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0111266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa78…7248backed Yes15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53511.4%4 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid+54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e5…8e79backed Yes29c68.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3324…88e3backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f7…93a9backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8c…ad03backed Yes31c64.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd7…d98bbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79e6…8336backed No73c56.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.181330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-48.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5b9…2be3backed Yes22c54.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5342…0f95backed Yes21c52.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3597…b125backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1580%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x44a1…dd17backed Yes30c36.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc1…8121backed Yes45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No77c30.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0d9…d018backed No68c21.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.