TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Blue Jays, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ec4…defabacked Blue Jays1c9,771$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4869547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Blue Jays54c9,656$5,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,214.2610844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Athletics45c5,948$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.3649250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays3c5,926$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.442,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Blue Jays55c5,744$3,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.26553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays4c5,000$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3193240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays7c4,637$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.336,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Blue Jays4c3,675$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays8c3,555$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.849,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays7c3,419$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays45c3,363$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Athletics45c3,040$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.9895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics46c2,229$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.72,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays13c1,660$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ee…7ad7backed Blue Jays1c1,461$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.014610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays3c1,329$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics46c1,164$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.791,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Blue Jays9c1,150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.527733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays4c1,140$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9a…12debacked Athletics46c1,067$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.081560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Athletics47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Athletics51c839.59$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.8317927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Athletics44c608$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4824253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Athletics46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32414549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays51c563.69$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics64c552$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.21,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays5c536.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics69c491$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Blue Jays56c441.98$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.519332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Blue Jays56c428$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.687847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Blue Jays3c389$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.978762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Blue Jays10c339.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9517239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Athletics46c333$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8227953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Blue Jays55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Blue Jays4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Athletics73c297.11$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2213359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Athletics46c260.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8730242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics44c225.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.642,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics46c220.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.881,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays55c209.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.51,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Blue Jays15c194$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3365549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b94…66c4backed Blue Jays54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics59c179.26$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2880680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays55c179.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.431,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d81…bf65backed Blue Jays57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Blue Jays53c154$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.621618.8%3 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.33per pick52cpaid-68.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7e2…17a9backed Athletics52c139.83$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Athletics46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4357545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics75c117.1$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.524,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Blue Jays27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics46c107.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.121,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8540…ee5dbacked Blue Jays54c106.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10fc…6b0fbacked Athletics47c102.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Blue Jays52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3681…ca77backed Athletics46c98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Athletics74c97.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.238366.3%55 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ac…df85backed Athletics47c96.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x655f…80a1backed Athletics47c92.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb06…08bfbacked Blue Jays55c92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e33…ce38backed Blue Jays55c91.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bf…816fbacked Blue Jays55c88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…24e8backed Athletics46c85.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.23875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1149348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50cd…3477backed Athletics47c82.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff65…7f42backed Athletics46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41b…b9c1backed Athletics47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7280…10efbacked Blue Jays54c73.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7240…1ebfbacked Blue Jays54c71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed Blue Jays55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.516752.1%87 W · 80 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5794…1064backed Blue Jays55c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c44…742bbacked Blue Jays55c65.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.95850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c7…c5fdbacked Athletics46c64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Blue Jays33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010537.1%39 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…3237backed Athletics44c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9216846.4%78 W · 90 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Blue Jays33c56.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6724953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Blue Jays58c51.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde47…aa74backed Blue Jays55c51.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Athletics46c50.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Athletics46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2750447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf65…495dbacked Athletics44c47.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff42…7ed3backed Blue Jays57c47.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics42c46.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.151,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab7…cbc3backed Athletics52c46.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7484…a41bbacked Athletics52c46.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5849…f7d9backed Athletics53c45.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Blue Jays46c43.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018545.9%85 W · 100 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jays54c39.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.591,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Athletics71c39.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6642955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Athletics51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb6…773dbacked Athletics44c35.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.66753.7%36 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Blue Jays54c33.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a3…e5e2backed Athletics45c31.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.