Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c39b9214ace713fac04c261e3502c7032dcdf731322ca8ab3c8d2dcd962ca9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $764,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 58c | 171,195$99,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,198.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 37c | 107,596$40,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,115.54 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 55c | 23,240$12,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,458.11 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 40c | 18,060$7,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,196.4 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 40c | 15,436$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.55 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 39c | 11,909$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,644.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 43c | 11,529$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.66 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 79c | 10,690$8,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 38c | 10,105$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.5 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9e…bde4backed No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 46c | 9,720$4,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.07 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 61c | 9,500$5,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 63c | 9,342$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 45c | 5,533$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.03 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 5,340$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.26 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 43c | 4,503$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.44 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 58c | 4,306$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.69 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…a94ebacked Yes | 61c | 4,196$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.26 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed No | 39c | 3,513$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 60c | 3,327$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.2 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 3,271$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.69 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 39c | 2,440$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 62c | 2,339$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.71 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 62c | 1,989$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.88 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 60c | 1,673$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…0694backed Yes | 63c | 1,541$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 39c | 1,498$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.68 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 24c | 1,466$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.46 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 1,365$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.81 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 12c | 1,350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 38c | 1,336$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.15 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 57c | 1,301$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 62c | 1,276$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 61c | 1,159$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.26 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 73c | 1,140$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 62c | 1,019$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 58c | 986.75$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 985.27$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.02 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 60c | 932.17$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.17 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 46c | 791.31$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 36c | 720$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 55c | 610.91$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.91 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 41c | 573.15$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 59c | 550$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 46c | 439$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 61c | 377.05$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 59c | 370.57$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 58c | 345.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed No | 39c | 342.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 60c | 335.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.64 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 62c | 312.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…94a1backed No | 41c | 300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 40c | 299.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Yes | 80c | 294.36$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Yes | 60c | 290.53$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 40c | 280$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Yes | 79c | 261.12$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…6724backed No | 39c | 255$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 62c | 227.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 44c | 188.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 43c | 182.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 39c | 171.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…e978backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…cab7backed Yes | 61c | 167.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 41c | 155$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 62c | 155$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…4709backed Yes | 57c | 147.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes | 59c | 143.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…dec6backed No | 40c | 126.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…9372backed No | 44c | 124.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…126cbacked No | 40c | 121.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked No | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…db92backed No | 44c | 119.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 117.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc47…aae1backed No | 40c | 115.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 39c | 111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 44c | 102$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 42c | 101.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dec…50d9backed Yes | 60c | 100.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…e6c7backed No | 40c | 98.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?this page
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-13?No won
- Will Newcastle vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.