TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes68c34,999$23,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,799.1217248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No32c23,074$7,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,690.11933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes68c23,067$15,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,633.5750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes68c19,404$13,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,194.976051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No32c17,612$5,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,945.617139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No32c15,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.891936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes68c14,706$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No32c13,773$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,365.439028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No32c13,331$4,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,063.611770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No51c10,772$5,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,276.1927453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No32c7,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,76024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed No34c6,929$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,572.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No33c6,427$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.683638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No32c6,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.827060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes50c5,900$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes57c5,095$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.863145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes40c4,607$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.08812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes69c4,344$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No38c4,334$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.384148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60014647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes67c4,000$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No33c3,319$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.725253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No45c3,253$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.2430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No33c3,047$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.3512551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed Yes66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.959459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No35c2,914$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.231926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Yes66c2,653$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No50c2,620$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.7926930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes67c2,586$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.754454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No34c2,500$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No34c2,377$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.733438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1181…509abacked Yes68c2,354$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c2,326$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.674,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes56c2,280$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2756246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes68c2,150$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c2,059$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.623,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.9712050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.97321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No32c1,805$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.5515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd323…9e96backed Yes66c1,664$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No33c1,500$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.291241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e7…f4f6backed No35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…8fffbacked Yes68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…cf46backed Yes66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2729…ae49backed No32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes67c1,371$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.811833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No61c1,065$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.7114854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No34c1,060$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.62040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a9…721fbacked No32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b5…4b18backed Yes68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes67c977.2$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No33c965.48$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.481216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No50c959.4$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.46544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes39c959.14$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3717525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No34c946.12$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4415750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes57c903.24$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked Yes66c817.53$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed No67c779.84$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes69c755.4$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.055367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes32c739.27$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.323372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa969…3501backed Yes69c728.9$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes43c727.42$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.888142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4766331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No33c697.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.5112757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No32c631.24$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.247653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes65c617.36$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.332462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes68c604.12$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.652060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa07…cc94backed No32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+141%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No31c600$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4142733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba1…6fa7backed Yes69c580$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No35c542.86$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.868961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes51c510.23$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes69c501.45$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3461421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d41…fa71backed Yes68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes68c481.22$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.211631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes68c455.88$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3108858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked No66c454.82$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3791…158fbacked Yes68c450$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes59c436.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c36…ac70backed No33c420$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c69…9e30backed Yes69c381.16$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes68c376.22$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.83560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf322…1cf1backed Yes51c362.67$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes34c356.77$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.599330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd687…c066backed Yes68c320$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes67c302$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.323467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes66c301.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes62c301.22$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20412917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf44…3829backed Yes67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.