La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona win on 2025-09-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea94861d7fd0033ec8aec969f9b862d419c76d950c70df1f589362ae067313db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,511$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.26 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Yes | 14c | 3,885$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 3,502$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.67 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 78c | 3,472$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.52 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 12c | 3,311$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.31 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…de60backed Yes | 13c | 3,074$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,857$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.3 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 2,550$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked No | 64c | 2,350$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked No | 60c | 2,122$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 1,536$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.44 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,471$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.21 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,175$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 35c | 1,074$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.53 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 35c | 857.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 32c | 760.3$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.57 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 20c | 730$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 11c | 567.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 69c | 525.28$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 12c | 509.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…fa71backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 39c | 386.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 60c | 375$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…45bdbacked Yes | 32c | 362.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 12c | 349.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…ad1bbacked Yes | 40c | 329.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 12c | 323.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…0bfabacked Yes | 13c | 315.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed Yes | 13c | 296.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 12c | 236.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb3…caf3backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 76c | 196.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…f145backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 112.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 96.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 64c | 89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Yes | 34c | 77.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 69c | 41.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…979abacked Yes | 39c | 36.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 42c | 35.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona win on 2025-09-23?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Girona end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.