La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club vs. Girona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1134a1abe122b06eb1f37894a5b95cdb34f2bf812261e56b6182c05af7c7978c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 11,626$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,523.87 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 17c | 11,459$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.51 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 80c | 5,386$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.4 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.83 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked No | 77c | 3,348$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 36c | 3,028$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.06 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 67c | 2,670$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.54 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 31c | 1,632$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 49c | 1,370$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.28 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 1c | 1,303$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbf…4953backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3791…158fbacked No | 79c | 999.97$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 24c | 749.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.95 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed No | 74c | 686.14$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 653.51$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 33c | 610$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 74c | 519.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.59 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked No | 61c | 488.36$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edc…4a7abacked Yes | 21c | 450$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +203.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…2f34backed No | 80c | 450$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Yes | 34c | 442.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…f4e1backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Yes | 52c | 321.76$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 32c | 312.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…6b38backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…31cabacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +205.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 22c | 267.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.46 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 74c | 262.57$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 78c | 257$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…0bfabacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 21c | 236.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 32c | 217.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…088abacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 31c | 193.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2e76backed Yes | 21c | 190$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 66c | 187.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 20c | 161.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 33c | 154.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 26c | 122$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…15d4backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…eccfbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…10b7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…e30cbacked Yes | 60c | 90.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 42c | 85.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed Yes | 21c | 83.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 35c | 77.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 72c | 69.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 78c | 62.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…45bdbacked Yes | 60c | 60.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 31c | 38.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…02adbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club vs. Girona end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?No won
- Will Girona win on 2025-09-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.