Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x389d3c564fe9c865e379c60acb1e172d9545e54db9ef49cad5bbaa8b3f223d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 17,851$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,051.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 16c | 11,739$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,886.04 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 74c | 8,975$6,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,641.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.92 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 28c | 4,692$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.27 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 14c | 3,649$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 14c | 3,510$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.27 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Yes | 72c | 3,494$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 26c | 3,365$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.93 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 13c | 2,914$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.3 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 13c | 2,638$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.2 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 14c | 2,065$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.06 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 78c | 1,549$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 79c | 1,185$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.7 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 15c | 1,170$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.5 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 35c | 1,033$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.28 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 16c | 1,025$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,006$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 15c | 896.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 14c | 799.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.97 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 711.47$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.42 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 54c | 678$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes | 79c | 590.91$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 21c | 527.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.71 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 50c | 511.73$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 79c | 403.52$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.41 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 13c | 391.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.06 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 21c | 380.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.41 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 373.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.21 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…8714backed Yes | 79c | 327.56$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Yes | 67c | 299.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…4397backed Yes | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 14c | 232.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…3d66backed Yes | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…0029backed Yes | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed Yes | 61c | 161.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 18c | 157.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 64c | 157.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…1bdcbacked No | 22c | 138.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…1bd5backed No | 31c | 130.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…4d7abacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes | 80c | 125.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…5826backed Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 16c | 108.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 77c | 103.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 64cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06bc…2887backed No | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 33c | 92.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 66c | 91.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…a3e2backed No | 14c | 91.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…d93cbacked Yes | 79c | 89.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 72c | 83.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…d198backed Yes | 74c | 80.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 71c | 77.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 69c | 72.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…3717backed Yes | 57c | 66.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 20c | 58.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 39c | 54.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…ee84backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…9ebdbacked Yes | 51c | 48.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…a441backed Yes | 79c | 42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…18a6backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94f…ba0abacked Yes | 79c | 32.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 52c | 32.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 76c | 32.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ca…8903backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…bcffbacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…68a8backed Yes | 79c | 19.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Belgium vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.