Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x311dd02c0b58d87ad0d8ab001e010d5ef18ec1ed7363239c42ab1f5ffb7c6986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 49c | 5,756$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.05 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 4,124$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.01 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 42c | 3,735$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.34 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 42c | 2,850$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 58c | 2,413$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 57c | 2,412$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 2,246$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.3 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,038$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.85 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 42c | 1,677$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 58c | 1,621$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.1 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 41c | 1,406$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.74 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,377$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.26 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 51c | 955$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.85 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 45c | 919.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.59 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…d725backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 56c | 849.99$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 59c | 847.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 40c | 829.61$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.84 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 41c | 786.39$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.96 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 42c | 776.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.66 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 53c | 720.71$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 58c | 716$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…9fd4backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed No | 46c | 606.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 58c | 600$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.08 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 41c | 599.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 48c | 532.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 57c | 510$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 43c | 420$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 55c | 309.74$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.11 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 73c | 303.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 42c | 301.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 59c | 293.42$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 56c | 269.34$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 41c | 257.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 58c | 242.69$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 213.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d62…057bbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 58c | 172.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 59c | 167.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 42c | 141.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 40c | 136$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…4e8bbacked Yes | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Yes | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…5db5backed Yes | 46c | 119.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 58c | 116.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 26c | 114.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 43c | 107.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 56c | 104.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…18d8backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…d0edbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…14cdbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 41c | 87.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 44c | 85.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…4761backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Yes | 40c | 83.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Yes | 57c | 80.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 56c | 79.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…83fcbacked Yes | 54c | 73.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked No | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 75c | 65.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 65.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 42c | 63.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 59c | 62.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…113fbacked Yes | 57c | 53.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.