Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a22a727d60714a764e1b238b3ec47cd6010ded3e5dba45b4a458de3d7f2a3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 16,203$5,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.52 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 32c | 14,546$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.08 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 10,066$5,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.8 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 43c | 9,826$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.25 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 69c | 7,249$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 67c | 6,007$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 34c | 5,942$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 57c | 5,905$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 78c | 5,739$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.65 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 33c | 4,348$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.44 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 67c | 2,555$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 2,286$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.58 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,278$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 36c | 2,122$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.04 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,011$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.91 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 34c | 1,984$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.29 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 34c | 1,975$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.89 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 36c | 1,938$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.46 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 68c | 1,591$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.34 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 64c | 1,564$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.01 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 34c | 1,515$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.38 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 33c | 1,493$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 34c | 1,431$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 35c | 1,424$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,320$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked No | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 986$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.77 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 63c | 810.38$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…9599backed Yes | 66c | 791.08$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 68c | 735.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 67c | 662.69$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 35c | 570.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…59d9backed Yes | 64c | 507.3$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes | 67c | 504.8$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…eab2backed Yes | 57c | 499.95$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes | 65c | 478.78$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…bb3dbacked Yes | 69c | 477.1$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 67c | 450.22$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 36c | 363$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 34c | 359.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 67c | 343.6$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 68c | 340$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 34c | 336.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…8d38backed Yes | 67c | 298.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 66c | 295.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Yes | 66c | 281.82$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 65c | 277$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 65c | 253.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 36c | 238.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 33c | 214.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 65c | 209$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Yes | 66c | 201.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 65c | 191.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 33c | 177.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7ad4backed Yes | 66c | 163.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 32c | 158.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ede8backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 67c | 150.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 66c | 150.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5874backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…b68ebacked Yes | 68c | 145.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed Yes | 64c | 133.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…238ebacked Yes | 64c | 123.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 69c | 118.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…1546backed Yes | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 66c | 109.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 57c | 105.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will FC Metz vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Metz win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.