Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68bea4ddcd459f0ae93cca6667011f98ea9c532ff3d8977300ef4315826e0e23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 55c | 120,864$66,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,289.26 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 65,250$29,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,389.13 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 45c | 50,684$22,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,807.85 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 45c | 25,397$11,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,431.29 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 46c | 16,359$7,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,447.96 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 44c | 15,450$6,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,802.43 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 8,840$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 7,884$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.11 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Yes | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 56c | 5,999$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.56 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 45c | 5,101$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.93 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 38c | 4,712$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.31 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 45c | 4,511$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.48 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 45c | 3,690$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 58c | 3,576$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.47 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 55c | 3,499$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 56c | 3,450$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 45c | 3,368$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.34 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 75c | 3,162$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.46 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.2 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 45c | 2,892$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.14 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…213abacked Yes | 54c | 2,581$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 74c | 2,513$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.46 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 56c | 2,286$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.71 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 54c | 2,207$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 52c | 2,037$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.3 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 44c | 1,900$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.95 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 78c | 1,845$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.19 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 55c | 1,700$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 54c | 1,684$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.64 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 54c | 1,668$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked No | 23c | 1,437$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 1,163$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.8 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 55c | 1,090$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.66 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 1,047$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 56c | 1,027$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.97 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 79c | 979.72$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 28c | 949$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 54c | 926.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked Yes | 57c | 876.05$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 54c | 822.22$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.22 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed No | 52c | 816.02$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 55c | 730$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 78c | 660.11$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 44c | 653.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.6 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 54c | 608.55$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 45c | 599.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 44c | 599.86$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.94 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…e68ebacked Yes | 55c | 598.16$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 54c | 595.06$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…f01dbacked Yes | 75c | 578.16$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 55c | 542.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 56c | 517.86$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 54c | 500$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 56c | 487.5$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 55c | 449.35$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.35 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 55c | 432.2$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 55c | 432.2$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 55c | 430$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 57c | 426.32$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 56c | 425.64$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 56c | 405$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…550dbacked Yes | 55c | 364.56$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 45c | 359.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…a833backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…1dfbbacked Yes | 56c | 346.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 44c | 321.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 55c | 307.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 45c | 296.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…fee8backed Yes | 54c | 277.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 51c | 273.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?this page
- Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2025-10-01?No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Athletic Bilbao end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.