TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No37c50,924$18,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,828.534843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes63c23,000$14,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,509.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No34c19,122$6,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,501.413444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes66c18,490$12,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,306.883,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes63c16,773$10,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,206.13748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes52c11,856$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,696.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No48c9,890$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,747.019961.6%61 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes65c5,700$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9882040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No34c5,602$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-77%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No33c5,188$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.9827939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87e7…f4f6backed Yes63c5,000$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes62c4,630$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.813852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes67c4,507$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.282065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2729…ae49backed No36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No37c3,999$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.7720132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No33c3,888$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.055763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes64c2,969$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes66c2,941$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.013354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No33c2,890$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.2512269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes64c2,497$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked No36c2,396$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed No35c2,331$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes64c2,029$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe605…f88dbacked Yes66c1,741$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes66c1,600$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.915269.2%36 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf27…2ec3backed Yes65c1,557$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec4f…a9babacked No35c1,555$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c1,551$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.295536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes66c1,516$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c1,502$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.662,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No36c1,422$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.914447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes66c1,410$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes64c1,190$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.495962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No32c1,131$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9212247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No37c1,050$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.652343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3408742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes63c900$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3333740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes66c896.43$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5312955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Yes67c864.7$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84eb…869dbacked No37c780$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes57c735.4$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.4850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes66c679.47$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes67c614.91$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.922958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Yes64c613.11$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No36c549.45$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.89265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes64c546.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8810757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No27c533.46$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0315376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes62c516.23$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.232347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No37c448.68$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.01922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes64c418.86$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.797851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0860…d30fbacked Yes64c397.8$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No36c390.29$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No49c382.91$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.632123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes60c365.93$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9314352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No36c333.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.853138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes66c308.7$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.962885.7%24 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+40.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe23f…f55abacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes66c303$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.021258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes66c301.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.618543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes64c301.15$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.415253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+73.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes70c286.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.962737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes66c278.79$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.794454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked No44c271.89$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-61.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes64c265.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes64c264.42$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.421668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No58c257.49$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes73c248.83$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.789652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes66c239.39$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.398030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes63c237.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.854436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes64c235.31$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.711471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes64c226.56$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0454…859ebacked Yes66c210$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+116.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x001b…1bd7backed Yes52c201.38$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb0…6687backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No37c199.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7915151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a2…033fbacked Yes51c194.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes65c191.29$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9510452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes63c190$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.32250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes67c164.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.183171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes63c161.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e66…8cf9backed Yes64c157.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ab…7e31backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes39c153.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.633826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5213552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5220655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5227437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa615…1bd5backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+54%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddef…cd67backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+57.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.