TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bde…8c91backed No55c48,197$26,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,496.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes45c45,000$20,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,864.1317248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes45c31,186$14,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,152.385040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No55c20,783$11,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,426.8729545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No56c10,707$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.3712551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5009450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c9,098$5,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.763444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed Yes43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.97060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes44c3,684$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.956035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4cc…de2dbacked No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes57c2,875$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…83dabacked No53c2,561$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No56c2,430$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No51c2,395$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.6327453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes44c2,336$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.362152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No56c1,964$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes45c1,957$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.7617744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c1,915$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.5350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No12c1,814$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.674456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No40c1,767$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.26250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No56c1,696$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.582240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No57c1,693$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.223240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed No57c1,589$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.841520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes37c1,556$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.5630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9612050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No58c1,412$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes50c1,377$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes45c1,371$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.83955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.672931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.991216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No55c1,145$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.756860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes45c1,115$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.912338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No48c1,059$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.561181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+60.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes44c999.16$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.531936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c943.35$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.3235054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No50c899.99$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.525648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No55c799.97$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.985616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes45c789.66$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3114854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes45c779.95$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.55714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-68.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes44c743.55$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.391283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7428…e742backed Yes44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes45c667.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4413045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bf…baecbacked Yes43c650$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c641.91$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes44c640.14$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.713636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c621.64$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.97653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No57c619.3$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3538961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes20c530$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+94.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No55c490$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No57c471$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Yes43c460.47$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes8c453.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.851942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+138.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes75c441.6$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.63842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes44c440.91$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.912740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed No57c428.07$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes47c419.96$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.682055%11 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22014621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes44c381.82$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.823571.4%25 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No57c351.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No56c350.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2276…9717backed Yes43c350$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d2…0ffebacked No57c347.37$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes11c343.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.591947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.916555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Yes16c340$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+316.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes44c339.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.133732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked No25c334.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Yes7c319.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.595046%23 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6f…56ecbacked Yes44c318.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15311947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes46c295.8$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.735119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No55c282$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.115851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No55c271.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes76c260$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.413969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x877b…4f25backed Yes44c254.39$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.461258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No57c228$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.968828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.275655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2726545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c69…9e30backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…4291backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes49c226.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.26246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No57c221.05$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1275050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…165cbacked No56c215$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…64dabacked Yes49c205.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f48…c790backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1187142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf89f…bd07backed Yes79c197.06$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.38955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe23f…f55abacked Yes52c185.15$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.07580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes22c183.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.27525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.