La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol vs. Mallorca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcec6bc695838b6434e34034d6530a1860738eda438adc0de9661b667ebb21e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 50c | 50,000$24,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,012.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 50c | 28,540$14,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,269.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 46c | 5,599$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.6 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…a159backed Yes | 30c | 5,004$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…0f3fbacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…f0fcbacked No | 70c | 4,285$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 49c | 3,884$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.76 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…398dbacked No | 70c | 2,858$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…621ebacked No | 70c | 2,855$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 31c | 2,366$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.42 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 50c | 1,849$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.58 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,700$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 1,652$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.27 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 69c | 1,456$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.44 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 31c | 1,422$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.93 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 31c | 784.35$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 8c | 505$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 70c | 410.76$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 69c | 276$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 275.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 26c | 264.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 285 | 43.2%123 W · 162 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 64c | 209.62$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed Yes | 14c | 208.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…53a3backed Yes | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…8130backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 35c | 173.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 68c | 147.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Yes | 33c | 141.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Yes | 11c | 116$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 70c | 113.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Yes | 53c | 112.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes | 31c | 106.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 31c | 88.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 30c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 70c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes | 52c | 71.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 34c | 49.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 30c | 42.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…dcc3backed No | 70c | 25.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 54c | 24.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 69c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol vs. Mallorca end in a draw?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?Yes won
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.