La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dcfcb6d3ab1d92abff687f45efd592fe806cb57bac25834c8ec07f9135e1a80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 73c | 2,715$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.91 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 28c | 2,662$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 2,235$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 20c | 1,531$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 74c | 1,486$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.49 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 1,296$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.01 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 35c | 1,161$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.87 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 20c | 995.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 72c | 925$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 27c | 900$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 26c | 875.93$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.74 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 16c | 861.7$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 34c | 800$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 799.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 27c | 558.07$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 27c | 451.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 429.93$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 6c | 425$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 71c | 366.67$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 75c | 335.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 65cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 39c | 306.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed No | 80c | 250.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 20c | 246.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed No | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 75c | 214.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 27c | 162.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…05b9backed Yes | 30c | 125.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…08b0backed Yes | 16c | 125.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…0b66backed No | 74c | 120.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 73c | 114.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 69c | 109.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 23c | 108.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes | 18c | 101.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed Yes | 27c | 84.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 73c | 73.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…10b7backed Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 25c | 51.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…4488backed Yes | 28c | 50.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…b8cebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 74c | 45.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…751ebacked No | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed No | 73c | 28.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-15?this page
- Will Espanyol vs. Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.