La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c2fb0b8360717a4c817a8ca5997c1c94e4dae07da90a1fd17622548504943a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 20,579$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,028.64 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 20,372$14,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,456.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 61c | 16,867$10,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,596.81 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 39c | 14,817$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778.51 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 46c | 1,863$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.01 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 24c | 1,586$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.64 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 39c | 1,195$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.61 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 77c | 1,152$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 64c | 1,120$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 73c | 981.31$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 40c | 811.13$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 39c | 729.92$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.67 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 613.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 55c | 561.58$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.35 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…7dc7backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…f659backed No | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 61c | 445.9$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 40c | 358.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 61c | 288.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 63c | 239.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 38c | 220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 39c | 179.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 35c | 140.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 61c | 109.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 39c | 104.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x600e…5ab6backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed Yes | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 61c | 85.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed No | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 61c | 65.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b799backed Yes | 67c | 56.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 60c | 55.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…4489backed Yes | 62c | 55.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…208ebacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 61c | 48.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 35c | 41.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…3e05backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4c5bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1435…0028backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…b59bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…7d31backed Yes | 60c | 29.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 39c | 25.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…bcffbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c81…6883backed Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…e899backed Yes | 61c | 19.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.