La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7a014a732fcf086f75849e068903dc70bb19f06f8c90a8146b8f23c7a1d03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 12c | 4,637$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.93 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 12c | 2,607$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.89 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 3c | 791.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes | 13c | 570$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 14c | 520$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 306.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 12c | 163.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…9599backed Yes | 14c | 116.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…3834backed Yes | 13c | 103.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 12c | 91.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.