TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No42c40,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,2008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes58c32,607$18,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,912.333348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No59c8,629$5,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,535.848242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No50c4,648$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.7510752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes58c3,600$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.995354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c3,057$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.721,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Yes50c2,902$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No50c2,877$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.521560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes49c1,834$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes59c1,766$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0493828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes17c1,731$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.745729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No40c1,700$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.994932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No41c1,489$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.8513050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.971741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes49c1,126$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5802334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes58c975$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0123153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c853$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.831,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes59c847.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.141181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes58c788.98$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes58c686.5$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes57c660$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c539.25$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4935037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes37c500.22$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29524642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdd…69ebbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes59c458.88$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes21c450$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bb0…acf5backed Yes50c447.87$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No41c415.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.431973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes58c388.1$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.13265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No40c378.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.214452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes57c347$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.51560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes20c325$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes50c300.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.232231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4063…0c2bbacked Yes56c300$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed No42c271.43$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.43875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+64.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.920232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes58c199.08$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162737%10 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No61c173.47$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1412343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc89…d22ebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd26b…3d2cbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da8…fe8dbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes60c167.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46be…4ad3backed Yes60c167.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef19…ba90backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5d…6011backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…ea48backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb5…abf6backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2178…9363backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e8…9a67backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x153d…108fbacked Yes60c161.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x486e…62c7backed Yes48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Yes57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.52842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes60c123.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52de…03b8backed Yes52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No42c103.87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.575736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…0731backed Yes60c102.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601450%7 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fb3…08d8backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No40c96.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.898447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes58c95.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No43c95.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.256743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb29a…a069backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x964b…9317backed Yes60c92.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Yes58c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x103b…6b22backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf96…7d12backed Yes59c85.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes59c84.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fb…920cbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes57c82.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9426845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes22c80.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes59c76.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97d…bcffbacked Yes59c72.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No40c72.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3923260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2738…6412backed Yes58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…cd69backed Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482e…39c7backed Yes60c67.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd87…2134backed Yes60c63.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba6…f2f1backed Yes53c60.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.