Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a6e6f8119b51b7d79ffa87f960aef66e908ae82946f60f4bf71cf8ae05a3a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 19c | 5,250$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.5 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 26c | 4,326$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.01 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 18c | 4,073$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.38 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 2,550$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.5 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 49c | 1,620$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,609$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Yes | 66c | 1,153$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 20c | 1,009$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.59 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 21c | 964.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.55 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 54c | 748.54$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…b129backed Yes | 18c | 725.22$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +145%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 78c | 640.78$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 572.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.26 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 37c | 399.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 299.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.13 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 18c | 243.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…920cbacked Yes | 22c | 228.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 33c | 225$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 46c | 206.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6bbacked Yes | 19c | 200.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 21c | 184$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…533cbacked Yes | 79c | 151.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 149.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 24c | 139.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 79c | 129.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 125.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 18c | 119.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x408b…f0ebbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Yes | 72c | 103.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 20c | 88.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…acc5backed No | 72c | 70.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 18c | 58.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 50c | 40.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Yes | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…75cebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Yes | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…5ce7backed No | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…eeb0backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 74c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…852fbacked No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.