Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7da6d859539502461fc22cb39e48db7e1c8a6b8b00f6ed555bc60ba0c37cfb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 68c | 2,180$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.48 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 77c | 1,680$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,338$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.33 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 77c | 1,320$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Yes | 33c | 599.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes | 34c | 293.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 249$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 28c | 210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Yes | 30c | 180.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18eb…a597backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes | 30c | 66.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Yes | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…7ad0backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…af6bbacked Yes | 35c | 31.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…852fbacked No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.