World Politics · resolved market
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84dafaed1275f878da543e1ae4e89634c70ead7ba43d4d067512ae5dcaeb0b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,571 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 77c | 9,309$7,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed No | 54c | 8,793$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 66c | 7,864$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.38 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 51c | 4,816$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…18fcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,044$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked No | 51c | 3,606$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 27c | 3,481$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.36 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 78c | 3,339$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…04fabacked Yes | 0c | 3,296$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 49c | 3,257$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…fdd5backed No | 52c | 3,187$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 16c | 2,920$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.01 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…4968backed Yes | 71c | 2,792$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…66ffbacked No | 64c | 2,771$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 3c | 2,559$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…8605backed Yes | 0c | 2,196$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…6306backed Yes | 57c | 2,169$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 32c | 2,028$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.43 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…c054backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked Yes | 70c | 1,925$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.84 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…6276backed Yes | 24c | 1,719$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,640$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 23c | 1,563$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.47 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,409$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 20c | 1,302$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.38 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…cadabacked Yes | 45c | 1,234$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 18c | 1,128$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.75 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…561bbacked No | 62c | 1,098$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 59c | 1,086$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.04 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…ff3bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,073$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…014bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,060$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…d2babacked Yes | 7c | 1,047$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 47c | 989$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.19 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 25c | 973.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes | 12c | 907.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 7c | 850$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 53c | 842.69$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…0ca8backed Yes | 29c | 800.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…9f5bbacked Yes | 72c | 795.5$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…77bcbacked Yes | 74c | 774.87$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 31c | 727.34$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 5c | 727.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d35…2be5backed No | 80c | 626.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 42c | 609.01$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.85 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…ab43backed Yes | 67c | 588.75$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 60c | 580.78$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 46c | 549.76$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.56 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…0e6dbacked Yes | 46c | 537.15$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b9…aa4fbacked Yes | 33c | 514.32$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…4664backed Yes | 50c | 501.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…e44ebacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…516dbacked Yes | 70c | 499.04$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 31c | 492.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 48c | 480.6$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.66 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked Yes | 4c | 452.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…572fbacked Yes | 71c | 423.52$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…422cbacked No | 30c | 421$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…2fbabacked Yes | 47c | 408.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…cb75backed Yes | 7c | 403.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…8b3ebacked Yes | 49c | 399.41$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…e0c3backed No | 30c | 370$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 36c | 343.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 23c | 336.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523f…d6ecbacked Yes | 69c | 333.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 54c | 320$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…03d8backed Yes | 65c | 306.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb99a…1300backed No | 36c | 299.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…4141backed No | 34c | 297.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 57c | 293.37$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8680…a628backed No | 44c | 292.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 69c | 289.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Yes | 26c | 288.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c4c8backed Yes | 30c | 280$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4b…a53ebacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…429abacked Yes | 69c | 274$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 50c | 267.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 44c | 260$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…c63cbacked No | 34c | 246.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…6741backed Yes | 46c | 246$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bf…6a05backed No | 30c | 246$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 66c | 240.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2faf…d59dbacked No | 71c | 239.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…39aabacked Yes | 70c | 238$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe74…b9f1backed Yes | 51c | 234$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9462…1f7ebacked Yes | 70c | 233$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 232.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked No | 36c | 227.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…ce2bbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 21c | 226.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…c564backed No | 30c | 223$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…8606backed Yes | 70c | 221$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…3de1backed No | 30c | 219$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…7debbacked No | 30c | 219$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 15cpaid | +331.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…ee67backed No | 30c | 218$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf54…2d2fbacked No | 30c | 218$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +992.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?this page
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes won
- Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?No won
- Will Rachida Dati advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes won
- Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.