Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9d0841cf25085a676386e00ae1a1aa5d4400639ef3a23fd10668de7f1e92b02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 50c | 6,612$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.45 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 40c | 5,242$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 51c | 5,010$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.15 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 51c | 4,605$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.55 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 49c | 4,070$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.88 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 55c | 3,551$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 51c | 2,362$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.9 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,301$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…9a4dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,152$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 50c | 2,009$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,009$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 1,394$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.34 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked Yes | 49c | 986.61$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 50c | 982.8$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 49c | 956.12$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.19 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 48c | 801.89$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 48c | 780.38$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 7c | 680.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 53c | 604.63$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.45 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 49c | 497$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 422.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.16 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 48c | 418.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 50c | 394.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 52c | 333.27$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 51c | 332.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.81 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 52c | 329.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 50c | 302.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 282.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 49c | 277$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.27 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 250$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 237$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 52c | 223.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 50c | 196$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 11c | 180.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 178.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 51c | 142.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 49c | 134.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed No | 52c | 118.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 52c | 118.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…82e5backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 42c | 106.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…5a56backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 51c | 100.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…728cbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked No | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d27…c460backed Yes | 47c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 43c | 97.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 48c | 92.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed No | 45c | 88.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…212abacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…b038backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…f2e8backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…7f73backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…8917backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2c…454dbacked Yes | 48c | 70.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 49c | 61.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.