Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfde130b075c67a91bd73a4f6fd39c84525edb95e6c89978a7a6bd3246b7ce4ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,981$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.54 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,759$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 52c | 1,593$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.62 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,296$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 55c | 858.96$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.01 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 63c | 603.26$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 47c | 429.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 406$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…5cd5backed No | 52c | 353.25$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…d94dbacked Yes | 49c | 351.22$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 330$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 62c | 266.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 52c | 224.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…3d2cbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…fee8backed Yes | 49c | 200.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 50c | 198.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 170.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 62c | 111.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Yes | 47c | 106.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 45c | 79.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…03aabacked Yes | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 54c | 69.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 67.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 66.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…331bbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 49c | 63.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…c110backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…da84backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…58c7backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…da60backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 40.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 47c | 33.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…a344backed Yes | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…bcffbacked Yes | 46c | 24.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Yes | 48c | 22.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 55c | 21.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will FC Metz win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
- Will FC Nantes vs. FC Metz end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.