Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb175178954fd372769639c527c4a6a326ed3355adb5d87ab68190b3dbe47a36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $561,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 47c | 316,280$147,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,225.88 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 54c | 300,000$160,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,215.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 46c | 45,394$20,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,881.39 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 46c | 40,027$18,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,412.93 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 54c | 39,582$21,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,207.7 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 31,751$14,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,460.93 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 54c | 22,200$11,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,212 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 11,481$5,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,524.41 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 44c | 8,910$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.54 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 32c | 8,616$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.99 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 51c | 3,689$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.33 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 54c | 3,265$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.81 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 64c | 3,000$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.58 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 2,391$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.95 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 46c | 2,272$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,560$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 1,504$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.54 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 57c | 1,402$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.9 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 58c | 1,152$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 53c | 1,138$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.74 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 49c | 1,099$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.03 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 48c | 956$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.69 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 51c | 951.32$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.32 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 10c | 911.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 54c | 906.26$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 864.17$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.88 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 55c | 829$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 45c | 816.35$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.56 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed No | 59c | 687.32$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…d1c4backed Yes | 53c | 486.15$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…867ebacked Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 49c | 444.6$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 416.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 54c | 412.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 50c | 402.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 47c | 323.43$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 48c | 291.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 279$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 52c | 242.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 47c | 236.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 54c | 210.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 51c | 209.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…981ebacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccb…0683backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 43c | 176.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 47c | 159.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 47c | 153.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 40c | 141.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 129.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 52c | 122$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 59c | 120.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed No | 61c | 109$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…9e98backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Yes | 55c | 94.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…1bd5backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No | 46c | 90.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 68c | 79.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…7e31backed Yes | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…3171backed Yes | 57c | 74.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…0155backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 42c | 71.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…1eb4backed Yes | 53c | 67.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 54c | 63.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Bologna end in a draw?No won
- Will Bologna win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.