NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccd51cc60b3aaac85b33d54981b390566df3471214f0ef8cd34fea86d7016453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Blackhawks, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 744 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blackhawks | 26c | 60,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Sabres | 63c | 57,133$35,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,139.39 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks | 38c | 38,183$14,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,323.59 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Sabres | 62c | 36,926$22,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,201.14 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…eba1backed Sabres | 63c | 23,550$14,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,768.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Sabres | 62c | 22,097$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,396.94 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Sabres | 62c | 17,500$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Blackhawks | 38c | 15,371$5,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,785.42 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 15,128$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Blackhawks | 38c | 14,950$5,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blackhawks | 36c | 10,116$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.24 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Sabres | 64c | 8,995$5,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.2 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks | 38c | 8,000$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.71 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks | 31c | 7,500$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sabres | 61c | 7,299$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.47 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blackhawks | 0c | 5,932$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Blackhawks | 0c | 5,645$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 5,536$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.68 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Blackhawks | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Sabres | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 4,936$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…d8acbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 4,476$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…2807backed Blackhawks | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blackhawks | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks | 39c | 3,479$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.93 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Sabres | 62c | 3,400$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Sabres | 62c | 3,252$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.71 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Blackhawks | 37c | 3,028$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.23 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Blackhawks | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Blackhawks | 38c | 2,960$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.8 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 0c | 2,875$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Blackhawks | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Blackhawks | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres | 62c | 2,245$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.1 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sabres | 62c | 2,066$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.91 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Blackhawks | 39c | 2,037$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.49 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ea82backed Sabres | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Sabres | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…51ebbacked Sabres | 64c | 1,957$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…4ba0backed Sabres | 64c | 1,900$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…045ebacked Blackhawks | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Blackhawks | 38c | 1,870$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.58 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 1,849$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks | 39c | 1,637$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.25 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Blackhawks | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.96 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sabres | 61c | 1,542$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.87 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…3423backed Blackhawks | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blackhawks | 24c | 1,414$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.37 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Blackhawks | 5c | 1,408$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Blackhawks | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 31c | 1,369$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 73c | 1,318$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.91 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Blackhawks | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Blackhawks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Sabres | 62c | 1,270$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.6 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…10c5backed Sabres | 64c | 1,211$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…4b6abacked Blackhawks | 37c | 1,162$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks | 35c | 1,136$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.3 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 62c | 1,050$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…25c5backed Sabres | 62c | 1,010$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sabres | 64c | 1,010$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.56 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 1,001$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.38 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Sabres | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…5cb7backed Blackhawks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Sabres | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…ad03backed Blackhawks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…1371backed Sabres | 61c | 990.24$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…1760backed Sabres | 64c | 930.31$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.91 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…8159backed Blackhawks | 37c | 929.73$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…83c0backed Blackhawks | 38c | 902.63$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Sabres | 58c | 897.99$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.16 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4837…94a1backed Sabres | 63c | 888.89$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…0aa3backed Blackhawks | 39c | 860$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 62c | 860$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Blackhawks | 39c | 841.03$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…c388backed Blackhawks | 39c | 770$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blackhawks | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Blackhawks | 5c | 740.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923d…dea6backed Blackhawks | 38c | 740$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Sabres | 64c | 723.44$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 61c | 720.9$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.15 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…fad6backed Sabres | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…c13dbacked Sabres | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blackhawks | 37c | 681.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Blackhawks | 37c | 663$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.31 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…3864backed Sabres | 64c | 630$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…714dbacked Sabres | 62c | 630$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Sabres | 62c | 620$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496a…eb2dbacked Sabres | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1524…4be0backed Sabres | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c3…b98cbacked Sabres | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…db4bbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…6ff5backed Blackhawks | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…ce04backed Blackhawks | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…1633backed Blackhawks | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Sabresthis page
- Blackhawks vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.