Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f6c550fcb912bf84b4e4db676c8503bb0ca7a0444a0bb81f04d77b2064b6482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 33c | 160,416$53,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,274.78 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Liquid | 65c | 91,855$59,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,450.86 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Team Falcons | 37c | 65,401$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Liquid | 71c | 57,426$41,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,375.28 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 59c | 30,587$17,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,602.67 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 25,774$15,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,051.79 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Team Falcons | 40c | 25,106$10,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,004.92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 14,137$8,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200.48 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 14,103$9,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Team Liquid | 77c | 13,860$10,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Falcons | 25c | 12,048$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.52 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…f8c7backed Team Falcons | 6c | 11,978$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 10,523$5,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.96 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Team Falcons | 45c | 9,474$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.74 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 8,076$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.08 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Team Falcons | 35c | 8,000$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 40c | 7,711$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.27 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 16c | 5,880$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.78 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 5,542$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.41 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid | 62c | 5,490$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.06 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 34c | 5,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons | 38c | 4,928$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.68 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Team Falcons | 35c | 4,740$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Falcons | 9c | 4,647$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.27 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Team Liquid | 58c | 4,320$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Team Falcons | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 3,766$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.74 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 2,998$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 65c | 2,903$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.95 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Team Falcons | 37c | 2,886$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Team Liquid | 70c | 2,843$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.08 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,835$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.84 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,830$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.51 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.99 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Team Falcons | 13c | 2,380$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.57 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,300$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,275$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.56 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Team Liquid | 76c | 2,255$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.42 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 2,195$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.82 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 2,184$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.56 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,136$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Liquid | 72c | 2,089$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,819$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.78 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,815$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,786$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,750$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.74 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,749$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.55 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.13 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,697$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.62 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,680$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.99 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,596$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.42 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Falcons | 14c | 1,544$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,505$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,500$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Team Falcons | 2c | 1,475$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,430$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Falcons | 36c | 1,380$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.96 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 9c | 1,263$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,163$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.56 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…1dd3backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,155$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Team Falcons | 1c | 1,150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,138$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 1,127$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.86 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 13c | 1,127$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,100$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,026$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 28c | 1,025$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,010$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.08 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Falcons | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Team Falcons | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +371.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Team Falcons | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 985.68$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.68 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Falcons | 9c | 963.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons | 7c | 949.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 882.6$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.82 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Team Liquid | 55c | 838$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.92 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Team Falcons | 27c | 814.54$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.49 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed Team Liquid | 64c | 801.11$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Team Falcons | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…bd44backed Team Falcons | 13c | 780$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 19c | 699.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Liquid | 66c | 676.89$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 57c | 672.42$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 658.54$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 11c | 640.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Team Liquid | 55c | 637.7$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 69c | 625$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 610$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Team Falcons | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Falcons | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Team Falcons | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 569.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.97 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.