Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25bf8428c6f351ec7cfd723f27333885072fb2b64b99795a6168bac2580dffaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 14,262$10,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.41 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 20c | 9,397$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.51 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 12c | 7,223$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.76 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Team Liquid | 72c | 6,944$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.44 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Team Liquid | 77c | 6,109$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 5,792$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.02 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid | 72c | 5,744$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.32 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid | 78c | 5,316$4,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.83 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Falcons | 27c | 5,104$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 4,086$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.16 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 71c | 3,461$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.19 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 70c | 3,344$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.72 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Liquid | 78c | 3,300$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.94 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 28c | 3,200$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 2,782$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Team Falcons | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 2,199$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.95 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 26c | 2,145$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.57 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Falcons | 23c | 1,798$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Falcons | 29c | 1,727$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Falcons | 20c | 1,595$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.75 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,353$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Team Falcons | 24c | 1,333$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Falcons | 26c | 1,246$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.06 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,196$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.76 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…a699backed Team Falcons | 22c | 1,170$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Team Liquid | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Team Liquid | 70c | 989.46$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid | 75c | 988.36$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 964.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.73 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Team Falcons | 22c | 855$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 44c | 753.64$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.07 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 723.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 75c | 692.34$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 24c | 687$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.88 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 666$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 610$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 30c | 560.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Team Liquid | 68c | 540$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Liquid | 78c | 514.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Falcons | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Team Falcons | 30c | 494.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 481.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Falcons | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 27c | 412.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Team Falcons | 27c | 369.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Falcons | 28c | 351.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 350$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 343.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Falcons | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid | 71c | 272.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Team Liquid | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 75c | 259.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 258.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 27c | 245.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 207.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 204$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Falcons | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Team Falcons | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 189$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 24c | 173.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 170$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…4f03backed Team Liquid | 72c | 145.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed Team Liquid | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Liquid | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Team Falcons | 27c | 136.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Team Falcons | 8c | 128$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 10c | 125.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 122.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Team Liquid | 74c | 116.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Liquid | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Team Falcons | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Falcons | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Team Liquid | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…6050backed Team Liquid | 73c | 95.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Team Liquid | 57c | 94.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Falcons | 23c | 94.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…27ccbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 82.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Team Liquid | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 73c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Team Liquid | 73c | 78.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 77.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Liquid | 71c | 74.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Liquid | 73c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…fc0ebacked Team Liquid | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Team Falcons | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.