Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe4db1fa1a7d72afc0a2184ae49578f56fee56b22347d8961b0d54ad5f8c0237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 29c | 103,000$29,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,429.98 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 70c | 49,102$34,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,808.18 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Team Liquid | 73c | 46,599$34,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,581.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 60c | 7,275$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.56 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 71c | 4,821$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.69 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 4,430$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.01 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Falcons | 32c | 4,245$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.27 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Team Falcons | 38c | 4,110$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 22c | 3,938$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.26 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 43c | 3,440$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.51 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 3,292$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 3,149$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.6 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 40c | 3,131$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.12 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 76c | 2,750$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Liquid | 62c | 2,583$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.27 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,400$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid | 57c | 2,159$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.43 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 1,971$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.01 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,783$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Team Falcons | 31c | 1,700$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,667$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.92 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,252$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.06 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 1,140$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,010$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.2 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 998.99$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.77 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Team Liquid | 60c | 884.02$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 699.98$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 632.58$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 76c | 558.4$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 553.89$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 506.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Liquid | 56c | 470$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Falcons | 23c | 387.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Team Liquid | 57c | 375$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 369.24$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Team Liquid | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…4f03backed Team Liquid | 59c | 341.83$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 13c | 313.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…27ccbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 313.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Team Falcons | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 297.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 294.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Falcons | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Liquid | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Liquid | 71c | 281.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed Team Liquid | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 75c | 235$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Liquid | 78c | 227.27$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 225.85$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid | 67c | 223.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…a699backed Team Falcons | 29c | 221.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Team Falcons | 11c | 220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 219.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 201.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Team Falcons | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Falcons | 32c | 196.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid | 69c | 196.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…6e84backed Team Falcons | 19c | 196.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 70c | 190$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Liquid | 69c | 187$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 185.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d2…f804backed Team Liquid | 70c | 182.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…fff4backed Team Liquid | 67c | 172.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 60c | 151.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7246backed Team Falcons | 8c | 142.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Team Falcons | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 128$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Liquid | 73c | 123.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 119.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Liquid | 73c | 113.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed Team Liquid | 73c | 105.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Team Liquid | 60c | 100.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Falcons | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed Team Liquid | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…3ab0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…c7c9backed Team Liquid | 68c | 85.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Team Falcons | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 71.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 68.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…2814backed Team Liquid | 66c | 64.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Liquid | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Team Liquid | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Team Liquid | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…4bd5backed Team Falcons | 26c | 56.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…4bfebacked Team Liquid | 68c | 55.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.