Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7583bb9ad9406d223d1ece566f3ee78d58e061e33f51db240934ee261266fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,099,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,214,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,099,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 63,775$41,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,482.71 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 50,360$32,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,420.5 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 28c | 41,445$11,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,433.06 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 38,603$24,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,427.26 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 34,828$25,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,503.64 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 33,138$11,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,046.34 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 20,206$7,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,341.01 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 20,151$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 15,631$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,631.74 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 15,597$10,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.6 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 15,000$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yellow Submarine | 28c | 14,929$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Yellow Submarine | 19c | 14,674$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 13,928$7,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,673.99 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 13,848$8,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.64 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 12,605$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.62 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 12,437$8,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.47 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 12,062$9,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.22 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 11,344$8,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.96 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yellow Submarine | 3c | 11,030$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.57 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 10,634$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.59 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 9,111$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.25 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 8,327$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.04 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 7,898$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.93 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 7,000$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.62 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 6,750$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.5 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 6,214$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.36 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…adbebacked Yellow Submarine | 1c | 5,089$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 22cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 5,033$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.51 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 5,000$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 5,000$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.25 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 5,000$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.72 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 4,887$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.32 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 4,868$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.98 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 4,697$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.48 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 4,566$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.36 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 4,478$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.96 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 4,297$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.24 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 3,954$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.1 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 3,789$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.48 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 3,728$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.97 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 3,590$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.17 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 3,497$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.78 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 3,394$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.41 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…b38cbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 3,222$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 3,222$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.2 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 3,065$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.29 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yellow Submarine | 4c | 3,050$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 3,034$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.02 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 3,011$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 3,000$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.33 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 2,980$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.12 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 2,968$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.53 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 2,955$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 2,930$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 2,885$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.92 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 2,763$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.15 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 2,633$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.68 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 2,506$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.73 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 2,499$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.22 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 2,446$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.06 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,440$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.89 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 2,393$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.45 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 2,385$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 2,373$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.28 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 2,366$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.14 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 2,270$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 2,259$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.09 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 2,044$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.8 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 2,033$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.3 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 2,033$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 2,022$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 2,014$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.68 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,010$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.01 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…a6febacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Yellow Submarine | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 2,000$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 1,979$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,947$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.15 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,926$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.16 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 1,898$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,897$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.54 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 1,888$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 1,883$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.54 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 1,875$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,849$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.28 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 1,835$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 1,831$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,821$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.06 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,802$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.91 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 1,791$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.83 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,750$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.41 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.