Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecc7729adc448b7aa3d8f29d2e7ff93b0ad0212ece945c7574e65d44cc615e86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 47,609$33,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,724.25 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 43,550$26,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,249.79 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 32,521$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,106.52 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 28,711$8,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,470.84 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 25,066$18,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,038.46 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 15,463$10,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 13,550$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.85 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 13,415$10,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.53 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Yellow Submarine | 11c | 11,390$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.77 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 7,199$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.53 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 6,988$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.28 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 6,947$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 6,900$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 6,779$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.57 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 6,477$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.65 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 6,188$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.11 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 6,055$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.39 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 6,038$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.22 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 6,035$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.54 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 5,952$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.23 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 5,520$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 5,431$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.36 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 5,308$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.26 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 5,043$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.15 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 5,031$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.45 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 4,495$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.88 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 4,327$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 4,202$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.24 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 3,923$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 3,339$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.83 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 3,145$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 2,969$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.23 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 2,863$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.38 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 2,760$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b05…c092backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…6c6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 2c | 2,628$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 2,550$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.7 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 2,517$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.86 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 2,410$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.04 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 2,404$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.97 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…adbebacked Yellow Submarine | 1c | 2,232$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 22cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,185$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.77 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…b4f5backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 2,180$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,177$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.92 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 2,162$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.11 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 2,039$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.25 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Yellow Submarine | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…c542backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 2,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.96 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 1,963$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.92 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 1,945$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.74 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 1,772$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.28 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 1,707$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.7 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 1,668$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.26 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yellow Submarine | 8c | 1,637$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,549$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.15 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 1,522$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.68 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,520$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.33 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 1,508$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,430$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.36 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 1,400$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 1,377$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…2800backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,304$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,246$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 1,167$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 1,147$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.4 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 1,146$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 1,143$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,142$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.58 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,139$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,129$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.54 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 1,126$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.21 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.69 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 1,118$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.43 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 1,102$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.29 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Yellow Submarine | 23c | 1,094$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.65 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,090$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.83 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 1,082$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.66 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,053$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.35 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,025$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.67 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,017$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.8 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,003$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.39 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,000$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 1,000$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.11 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 997.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.