Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: by Owl Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cf84ce1b0f4c6b846df49f68d860a01bdbf6ec62a2ea37b9f28829ac61e42cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TPaBoMaH Clubof by Owl Club, TPaBoMaH Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked by Owl Club | 47c | 1,038$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.61 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TPaBoMaH Club | 67c | 589.73$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.02 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked TPaBoMaH Club | 77c | 561.74$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.74 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked by Owl Club | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed TPaBoMaH Club | 43c | 232.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…0417backed by Owl Club | 48c | 208.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed TPaBoMaH Club | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TPaBoMaH Club | 58c | 188.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed TPaBoMaH Club | 64c | 187.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…4812backed by Owl Club | 32c | 154.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TPaBoMaH Club | 57c | 124.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked by Owl Club | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed by Owl Club | 48c | 97.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked TPaBoMaH Club | 35c | 94.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d51…71a5backed by Owl Club | 52c | 76.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed by Owl Club | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…6a8dbacked by Owl Club | 34c | 68.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked by Owl Club | 46c | 65.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked by Owl Club | 22c | 60.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked by Owl Club | 50c | 49.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed TPaBoMaH Club | 46c | 44.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked TPaBoMaH Club | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed TPaBoMaH Club | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked TPaBoMaH Club | 45c | 29.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…92ccbacked by Owl Club | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked by Owl Club | 60c | 17.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…6a72backed TPaBoMaH Club | 74c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +124%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: by Owl Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Athis page
- Dota 2: by Owl Club vs TPaBoMaH Club - Game 2 WinnerTPaBoMaH Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.