Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe1a84bba119e3ce191866cd4b7414f7005e3dec728fda037226850e6efacc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team NSof Team NS, Stray Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f39…de4abacked Stray Team | 47c | 1,865$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Stray Team | 53c | 1,034$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.88 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team NS | 53c | 1,027$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.1 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Stray Team | 60c | 783.04$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.55 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Stray Team | 73c | 645.47$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.26 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Stray Team | 58c | 513.11$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team NS | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team NS | 40c | 496.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.51 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Stray Team | 77c | 489$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.53 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team NS | 36c | 471.78$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.73 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Stray Team | 20c | 342.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…89f5backed Team NS | 43c | 323.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team NS | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team NS | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Stray Team | 54c | 199$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team NS | 25c | 168$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…04a6backed Stray Team | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team NS | 29c | 146.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team NS | 40c | 146.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team NS | 55c | 121.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team NS | 38c | 120.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Team NS | 24c | 118.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team NS | 61c | 113.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team NS | 62c | 111.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team NS | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Stray Team | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Stray Team | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…3c44backed Team NS | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…1d0fbacked Stray Team | 69c | 98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Team NS | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Team NS | 43c | 75.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team NS | 49c | 71.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Team NS | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Team NS | 31c | 63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team NS | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Team NS | 28c | 54.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…02d2backed Team NS | 62c | 52.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Team NS | 34c | 51.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team NS | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team NS | 32c | 45.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Stray Team | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team NS | 34c | 43.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Stray Team | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Team NS | 39c | 35.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team NS | 40c | 35.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Team NS | 47c | 32.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Team NS | 41c | 32.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked Stray Team | 66c | 22.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…8ea1backed Stray Team | 70c | 17.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group AStray Team won
- Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team - Game 1 WinnerStray Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.