Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4255b92f99ef7545ee158a1fc0c2d0c92a04694d080afdf1f39c97ac68e8727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stray Teamof Team NS, Stray Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Team NS | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team NS | 5c | 1,073$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Stray Team | 67c | 882.52$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.25 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Team NS | 38c | 679.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team NS | 30c | 598.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.76 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Stray Team | 76c | 552.84$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team NS | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team NS | 6c | 410.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team NS | 37c | 374.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team NS | 30c | 366.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Team NS | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Stray Team | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team NS | 50c | 238$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Team NS | 43c | 231.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Team NS | 42c | 204.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Stray Team | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team NS | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team NS | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Team NS | 27c | 189.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed Stray Team | 54c | 186.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Stray Team | 58c | 169.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…7acdbacked Stray Team | 65c | 157.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team NS | 43c | 140.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Stray Team | 61c | 134.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Team NS | 39c | 109.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Team NS | 12c | 107$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Team NS | 29c | 102.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…f7a9backed Team NS | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Stray Team | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Team NS | 34c | 99.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Stray Team | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team NS | 33c | 97.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Stray Team | 67c | 92.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Team NS | 45c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team NS | 21c | 83.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Team NS | 20c | 82.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Team NS | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Stray Team | 60c | 71.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Stray Team | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Stray Team | 53c | 62.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Team NS | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Team NS | 34c | 61.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…1b2ebacked Stray Team | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Team NS | 33c | 55.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Stray Team | 74c | 53.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Stray Team | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Stray Team | 59c | 45.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Stray Team | 53c | 37.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Stray Team | 57c | 35.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…133ebacked Stray Team | 79c | 33.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked Stray Team | 57c | 33.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Stray Team | 62c | 33.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Stray Team | 50c | 32.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Team NS | 39c | 30.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Team NS | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Stray Team | 55c | 27.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Stray Team | 53c | 26.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed Stray Team | 50c | 25.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Stray Team | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Team NS | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team - Game 1 WinnerStray Team won
- Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team - Game 2 WinnerTeam NS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.