Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2608d64843e21f0be14c541b1cae5a6173ff830b407f7b77d0101d5d25061f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbea…d08cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,098$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 32c | 1,113$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.19 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed Yes | 14c | 881.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 2c | 563.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 547$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 495.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 425.86$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 63c | 354.07$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 53c | 342.3$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.28 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 328.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 326.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 66c | 309.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 61c | 306.15$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeead…178dbacked Yes | 73c | 272.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 234.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 20c | 230.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 35c | 220.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.58 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 33c | 216.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 215$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 52c | 201.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 194.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 31c | 189.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 181.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 34c | 179.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 53c | 179.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 29c | 161.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed No | 66c | 156.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 33c | 152.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 33c | 149.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Yes | 66c | 143.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 33c | 142.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 25c | 134.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 62c | 134.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 132.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 38c | 129.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 65c | 125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked No | 73c | 123.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 59c | 121.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 116.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked No | 63c | 114.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…aab7backed Yes | 40c | 105.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 73c | 104.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…013dbacked No | 77c | 104$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 35c | 100.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 70c | 97.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 23c | 94.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 37c | 85.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 36c | 84.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 83.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 40c | 81.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 74c | 81.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 77.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 35c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…5122backed Yes | 58c | 73.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 72.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Yes | 69c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…84dcbacked Yes | 35c | 70.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…3e99backed Yes | 34c | 69.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 29c | 69.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…b56fbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 55c | 68.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 48c | 66.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 42c | 65.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 74c | 64.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…e546backed Yes | 37c | 64.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 72c | 63.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 56c | 63.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed Yes | 33c | 60.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 24c | 59.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 46c | 57.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 55c | 56.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 40c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…6d80backed Yes | 36c | 56.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…c988backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 37c | 53.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 32c | 52.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 63c | 51.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 71c | 50.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 67c | 50.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 36c | 50.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.