Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb46d7eb4a102d5a677e0cacbbd5f87c8570908a851c2770c4e67051340c84c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 837.16$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.96 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 64c | 584.03$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.42 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 547$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.16 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 506.91$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 402.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 48c | 389.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 64c | 319.44$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.42 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 37c | 270.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 52c | 232.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Yes | 42c | 230.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 227.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 224.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 59c | 216.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 65c | 215.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 42c | 208.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 40c | 200.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 37c | 198.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 18c | 197.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 194.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 54c | 194.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 11c | 177.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 51c | 175.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 40c | 174.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 27c | 161.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 160$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 38c | 158.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 36c | 155.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 33c | 154.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 36c | 147.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 12c | 146.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 144.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 12c | 139.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…3c24backed Yes | 11c | 137$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +129%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 37c | 135.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 58c | 132.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 39c | 129.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…4325backed Yes | 40c | 125.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 60c | 122$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 58c | 122$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 19c | 115.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 60c | 115.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…ace6backed Yes | 34c | 110.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 37c | 110.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 67c | 108.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 11c | 106.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 33c | 104.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 27c | 103.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 56c | 103.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 34c | 99.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 33c | 98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 38c | 97.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 58c | 93.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…9a6bbacked No | 55c | 90.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 40c | 90.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 33c | 88.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 88.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 38c | 86.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 62c | 83.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 75.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked No | 58c | 70.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 65.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 64.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 63.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 37c | 60.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 26c | 56.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked No | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…5263backed Yes | 43c | 52.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 42c | 52.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 67c | 50.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…2c40backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 39c | 48.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 40c | 48.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…2f52backed No | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 47.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 56c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 40c | 45.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 38c | 45.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 41c | 45.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 34c | 44.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c0…22b4backed Yes | 41c | 44.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 42.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 37c | 40.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Yes | 49c | 40.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 69c | 39.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.