Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf168794b7e0128a1a12d8bc60ae1c74da5141c683118822dbecfa6e7569cbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,025,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,123,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,025,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Team Falcons | 38c | 303,309$115,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,655.02 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 277,940$170,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,646.4 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 52c | 102,609$52,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,943.9 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 97,937$46,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,503.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 73,203$49,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,362.4 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Team Falcons | 32c | 58,379$18,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,681.22 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 41,800$22,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,776.35 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 68c | 38,121$26,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,008.11 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Team Falcons | 52c | 25,680$13,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,353.6 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Liquid | 45c | 19,466$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,706.27 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Team Liquid | 46c | 18,494$8,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,062.23 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons | 54c | 15,591$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,409.93 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Team Falcons | 31c | 15,471$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.87 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 46c | 15,131$6,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,185.66 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 56c | 10,462$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 10,407$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,619.57 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…e7c5backed Team Falcons | 40c | 8,158$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid | 45c | 7,581$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.51 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 54c | 7,484$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.52 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…c892backed Team Liquid | 68c | 7,434$5,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 45c | 6,369$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.74 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f94dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 6,313$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 45c | 6,195$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.77 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 6,158$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.73 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 5,954$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.12 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 5,949$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.41 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 5,643$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.4 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 52c | 5,400$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.08 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid | 59c | 5,346$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.98 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons | 56c | 5,271$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.25 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 69c | 5,015$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.93 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Liquid | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 61c | 4,895$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.43 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Team Falcons | 54c | 4,744$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 33c | 4,404$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.56 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Liquid | 48c | 4,330$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.74 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Team Liquid | 51c | 4,230$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 4,043$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.35 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea23…5cc3backed Team Falcons | 1c | 4,002$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid | 45c | 3,937$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.15 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Team Liquid | 46c | 3,870$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.02 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 3,723$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.22 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Team Falcons | 29c | 3,433$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.11 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 3,396$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.08 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,295$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.12 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 3,283$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.1 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 3,144$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.64 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,932$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.06 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Team Liquid | 72c | 2,757$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,664$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,639$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.38 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,456$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,349$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.89 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,156$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.47 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed Team Liquid | 71c | 2,065$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.53 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 2,009$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.68 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.98 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,934$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.7 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,858$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.65 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…11f7backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,845$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,828$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.21 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,823$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.45 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,768$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.8 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Team Falcons | 5c | 1,700$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,696$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.13 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,629$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.79 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,618$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,578$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.91 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,548$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.81 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,497$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.41 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 1,490$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.05 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,451$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.43 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,451$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 1,450$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,443$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,433$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons | 29c | 1,361$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.73 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,298$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,294$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,281$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.74 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,278$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,259$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.09 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,236$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,224$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.48 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,220$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,201$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.7 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,177$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.49 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,163$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,150$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,089$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.6 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,071$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.96 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Team Liquid | 46c | 1,025$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,009$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.42 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.